Match Info
AFL - Round 4Date: 2 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: The Gabba (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
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Brisbane Lions |
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Collingwood Magpies |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.25 |
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4 |
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1.25 |
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3.5 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.35 |
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2.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.38) |
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3.48 ↑
(3.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 175.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)
- The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lions
73.1% | Collingwood Magpies
26.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 101:76 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (40 - 19)
- 00:44, Lohmann K. (G),
- 02:55, Lohmann K. (G),
- 05:39, McStay D. (G),
- 08:20, McStay D. (G),
- 09:33, Zorko D. (G),
- 14:20, Morris L. (G),
- 17:00, Elliott J. (G),
- 18:43, Allen O. (G),
- 21:18, Tunstill J. (Behind),
- 23:13, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:53, Tunstill J. (Behind),
- 27:21, McStay D. (Behind),
- 30:02, Neale L. (Behind),
- 31:40, Allen O. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (22 - 14)
- 05:23, Lohmann K. (Behind),
- 07:03, McCarthy L. (G),
- 10:08, Allen O. (G),
- 11:26, Steele R. (G),
- 12:29, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 13:29, Sullivan L. (G),
- 18:24, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 19:07, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:24, Ashcroft W. (G),
- 29:51, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
- 31:39, Long N. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (17 - 19)
- 01:35, Morris L. (Behind),
- 02:54, Lohmann K. (G),
- 06:03, Allen O. (Behind),
- 09:25, Schultz L. (G),
- 11:53, Morris L. (G),
- 16:21, De Goey J. (G),
- 20:21, Membrey T. (G),
- 24:10, Morris L. (Behind),
- 25:14, Lipinski P. (Behind),
- 27:13, Morris L. (Behind),
- 27:40, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (40 - 13)
- 00:56, Morris L. (G),
- 02:35, Bailey Z. (G),
- 05:59, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 09:53, Reville B. (Behind),
- 10:45, McStay D. (G),
- 12:38, Lohmann K. (G),
- 14:15, McStay D. (G),
- 16:20, Bailey Z. (G),
- 17:39, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:51, Reville B. (G),
- 22:41, McCarthy L. (G),
- 24:06, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:46, Sullivan L. (Behind),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2. In this match, Brisbane is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1721:1800. (average 86.1:90).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 888:1035. (average 80.7:94.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 20.09.25 | Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions | 71:100 | | 02.08.25 | Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions | 65:92 | | 17.04.25 | Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies | 53:105 | | 17.08.24 | Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions | 79:78 | | 28.03.24 | Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies | 72:92 | | 30.09.23 | Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions | 90:86 | | 18.08.23 | Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions | 100:124 |
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