Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL WOMEN - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Brisbane Lions		Geelong Cats

	1	2
	1.35	3.1
	1.36	3.25
	1.32	3.26
	1.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	3.18 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 79.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Lions
70.3%

Geelong Cats
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong Cats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats Predictions

Users Predictions: Brisbane Lions will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 46:34

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Geelong could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brisbane is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Brisbane to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 74-80.

Including matches at home between the teams Brisbane won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 35-60.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
10.11.23	Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions	37:39 ✺
04.11.23	Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons	53:28 ✺
28.10.23	St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions	55:34 ✺
21.10.23	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	42:39 ✺
14.10.23	Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions	21:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWW
- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
18.11.23	Melbourne Demons - Geelong Cats	45:50 ✺
11.11.23	Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers	51:33 ✺
04.11.23	Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks	60:20 ✺
28.10.23	Richmond Tigers - Geelong Cats	11:49 ✺
21.10.23	Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats	30:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
29.01.22	Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats	27:25
15.02.20	Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions	20:39
02.03.19	Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats	8:35

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
23.10.26	St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions	✺
- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers	✺

Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide