Match Info
AUSTRALIA: AFL - Round 14Date: 14 June 2024, FridayLocation: The Gabba (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network |
New-zealand | Sky Sport Select |
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Brisbane Lions |
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St Kilda Saints |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.13 |
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6.5 |
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1.11 |
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5.38 |
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1.12 |
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6.18 |
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1.12 |
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5.5 |
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1.12 |
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6.12 |
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1.12 |
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5.4 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.12 ↓ (1.31) |
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5.85 ↑ (3.58) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-36)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lions 83.9% | St Kilda Saints 16.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane Lions's performance.St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St Kilda Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.The ML Model estimate for Brisbane Lions aligns with the current prediction.The ML Model estimate for St Kilda Saints aligns with the current prediction.Brisbane Lions - St Kilda Saints Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 100:64 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (44 - 13)
- 02:47, Butler D. (Behind),
- 03:57, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 07:06, Daniher J. (G),
- 08:50, Morris L. (G),
- 11:37, Ah Chee C. (G),
- 13:18, Owens M. (G),
- 17:23, Owens M. (G),
- 19:08, Lohmann K. (G),
- 23:17, McKenna C. (Behind),
- 25:57, Rayner C. (G),
- 29:53, McCluggage H. (G),
- 31:07, McCluggage H. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (21 - 29)
- 00:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:23, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:09, King M. (G),
- 05:46, Starcevich B. (G),
- 07:54, Daniher J. (Behind),
- 08:37, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 10:20, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 11:15, Daniher J. (G),
- 14:39, Higgins J. (G),
- 17:43, Higgins J. (G),
- 19:09, Daniher J. (G),
- 22:18, Higgins J. (G),
- 26:43, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:57, McCluggage H. (Behind),
- 30:37, Bonner R. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (34 - 20)
- 00:52, Hipwood E. (G),
- 02:39, Hipwood E. (Behind),
- 05:21, Hipwood E. (G),
- 09:37, Higgins J. (G),
- 12:06, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:50, Reville B. (Behind),
- 15:15, King M. (G),
- 16:40, Henry L. (Behind),
- 17:11, Wood M. (G),
- 19:07, Rayner C. (Behind),
- 21:46, McInerney O. (G),
- 23:35, Owens M. (Behind),
- 25:11, Morris L. (G),
- 29:17, Daniher J. (G),
- 4th Quarter (27 - 44)
- 04:59, King M. (G),
- 07:04, Henry L. (G),
- 08:23, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:05, Wilson D. (G),
- 11:05, Lohmann K. (G),
- 13:21, Butler D. (G),
- 14:38, Wood M. (Behind),
- 16:05, Higgins J. (G),
- 17:59, Henry L. (G),
- 21:39, Morris L. (G),
- 23:28, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:53, Daniher J. (G),
- 27:39, Cameron C. (G),
- 29:31, Hipwood E. (Behind),
- 30:07, Butler D. (G),
- 31:22, Wood M. (Behind),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 13 and 14).Last 5 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 4. Brisbane is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Recent matches St Kilda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). St Kilda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Brisbane is indisputable favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1138-1135. Including matches at home between the teams Brisbane won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 515-500.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 26.08.23 | Brisbane Lions - St Kilda Saints | 72:60 | | 23.06.23 | St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions | 56:84 | | 12.08.22 | St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions | 66:81 | | 11.06.22 | Brisbane Lions - St Kilda Saints | 78:57 | | 10.07.21 | Brisbane Lions - St Kilda Saints | 63:95 | | 23.08.20 | Brisbane Lions - St Kilda Saints | 50:48 | | 22.06.19 | St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions | 59:115 |
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