Match Info
AFL - Round 23Date: 15 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: The Gabba (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL TV, Fox Footy |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 2 |
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Brisbane Lions |
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Gold Coast Suns |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.17 |
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5.25 |
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 |
1.20 |
125.00 |
4.10 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.2 |
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4.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↓
(1.2) |
41.67
|
4.58 ↓
(4.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 187.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-34)
- The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lions
77.6% | Draw
2.2% | Gold Coast Suns
20.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 111:77 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (15 - 15)
- 06:53, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:00, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 11:46, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
- 13:05, Rowell M. (Behind),
- 16:07, Hipwood E. (G),
- 18:09, Fort D. (G),
- 19:20, Long B. (G),
- 22:16, Lombard L. (Behind),
- 23:18, Humphrey B. (G),
- 27:37, McKenna C. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (22 - 10)
- 04:40, Gulbin L. (Behind),
- 05:34, Morris L. (G),
- 07:26, Allen O. (G),
- 11:12, Berry J. (Behind),
- 12:58, Long B. (Behind),
- 13:59, Neale L. (Behind),
- 17:17, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:51, Long B. (Behind),
- 21:10, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:01, King B. (G),
- 26:46, (Behind Rushed),
- 27:13, Rayner C. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (33 - 16)
- 02:15, Ashcroft L. (G),
- 03:26, Humphrey B. (Behind),
- 04:48, King B. (G),
- 06:54, Morris L. (G),
- 08:26, Walter J. (G),
- 10:10, Walter J. (Behind),
- 11:42, Zorko D. (G),
- 13:58, (Behind Rushed),
- 15:26, Lohmann K. (Behind),
- 19:08, Moyle N. (Behind),
- 21:40, Morris L. (G),
- 24:55, Bailey Z. (Behind),
- 27:01, Cameron C. (Behind),
- 29:40, Allen O. (G),
- 4th Quarter (25 - 12)
- 03:50, Morris L. (G),
- 05:27, Jeffrey J. (Behind),
- 08:06, Hipwood E. (Behind),
- 11:34, Humphrey B. (Behind),
- 12:28, Humphrey B. (Behind),
- 13:45, Walter J. (G),
- 16:39, Lombard L. (Behind),
- 17:54, Cameron C. (G),
- 19:09, Humphrey B. (Behind),
- 20:56, Ashcroft W. (G),
- 24:00, Petracca C. (Behind),
- 26:17, Cameron C. (G),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4.Brisbane is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Gold Coast has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Gold Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Brisbane is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1949:1391. (average 97.5:69.6).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1027:625. (average 102.7:62.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 06.06.26 | Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions | 75:106 | | 13.09.25 | Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns | 100:47 | | 25.07.25 | Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions | 130:64 | | 04.05.25 | Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns | 66:49 | | 27.07.24 | Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions | 65:93 | | 05.05.24 | Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns | 79:45 | | 29.07.23 | Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions | 91:55 |
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