Match Info
AFL - Round 1Date: 15 March 2026, SundayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Fox Sports 502 |
United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Melbourne Demons |
|
St Kilda Saints |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
|
1.62 |
|
 |
2.4 |
|
1.48 |
|
 |
2.32 |
|
1.54 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↓ (2.5) |
|
1.55 ↑ (1.54) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 175.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Melbourne Demons 39.8% | St Kilda Saints 60.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 50%). St Kilda will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St Kilda (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +10.5 Points - Melbourne (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 1 - 50%). St Kilda (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:93 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (21 - 28)
- 02:55, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
- 05:13, Windsor C. (G),
- 06:22, Ryan L. (G),
- 07:50, Hall M. (G),
- 09:27, Garcia H. (Behind),
- 11:45, Ryan L. (Behind),
- 16:56, Hill B. (Behind),
- 18:08, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 19:38, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 22:39, Sharp H. (Behind),
- 25:23, Owens M. (Behind),
- 27:57, Fritsch B. (Behind),
- 29:56, Turner D. (Behind),
- 32:14, Higgins J. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (40 - 31)
- 02:04, Higgins J. (G),
- 03:42, Mihocek B. (G),
- 05:38, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 08:02, Pickett L. (G),
- 10:28, Owens M. (G),
- 12:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:39, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 17:43, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:53, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
- 21:44, Mihocek B. (G),
- 24:12, Wilson D. (G),
- 25:52, Hall M. (G),
- 27:47, Tholstrup K. (Behind),
- 29:04, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 30:13, Windsor C. (Behind),
- 32:43, Culley J. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (32 - 30)
- 00:46, Chandler K. (Behind),
- 01:44, Owens M. (G),
- 03:29, Hall M. (G),
- 05:04, Mihocek B. (G),
- 07:45, Culley J. (G),
- 09:25, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:18, Hall M. (Behind),
- 12:14, Boxshall H. (Behind),
- 13:11, Boxshall H. (Behind),
- 14:25, Chandler K. (G),
- 15:53, Steele J. (G),
- 20:14, Keeler I. (G),
- 21:47, Wood M. (G),
- 25:55, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 28:02, Wood M. (Behind),
- 29:37, Pickett K. (G),
- 31:59, Owens M. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (27 - 18)
- 01:21, Gawn M. (G),
- 03:11, Wood M. (Behind),
- 04:10, Chandler K. (Behind),
- 06:54, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
- 08:18, Langdon E. (Behind),
- 09:39, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 12:16, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
- 14:15, Ryan L. (Behind),
- 16:19, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:30, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 20:45, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:41, Sharp H. (G),
- 23:06, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
- 24:14, Hall M. (G),
- 26:53, Fritsch B. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. St Kilda could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1723:1688. (average 86.2:84.4).Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 944:937. (average 85.8:85.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 27.07.25 | St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons | 96:90 | | 01.06.25 | Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints | 63:91 | | 26.05.24 | Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints | 100:62 | | 08.07.23 | St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons | 58:79 | | 07.05.22 | Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints | 93:55 | | 27.03.21 | St Kilda Saints - Melbourne Demons | 73:91 | | 29.08.20 | Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints | 52:49 |
|