Match Info
AUSTRALIA: AFL - Round 9Date: 10 May 2024, FridayLocation: University of Tasmania Stadium (Launceston)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Germany | Sport 1+ |
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Hawthorn Hawks |
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St Kilda Saints |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.55 |
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1.52 |
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 |
2.34 |
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1.52 |
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 |
2.62 |
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1.5 |
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2.6 |
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1.5 |
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2.47 |
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1.55 |
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2.42 |
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1.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.49) |
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1.52 ↓
(1.55) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 157.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hawthorn Hawks
37.7% | St Kilda Saints
62.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawthorn Hawks that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St Kilda Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Hawthorn Hawks - St Kilda Saints Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:85 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (25 - 21)
- 04:17, Macdonald C. (G),
- 05:47, Owens M. (G),
- 07:33, Watson N. (G),
- 10:00, Sinclair J. (Behind),
- 13:29, Meek L. (G),
- 17:32, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:24, Moore D. (G),
- 22:30, Membrey T. (G),
- 26:41, Henry L. (Behind),
- 29:00, King M. (G),
- 30:43, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (13 - 7)
- 06:10, Moore D. (G),
- 07:33, (Behind Rushed),
- 09:52, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 11:37, Owens M. (G),
- 16:19, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (16 - 11)
- 04:25, Newcombe J. (Behind),
- 06:11, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 07:35, Battle J. (G),
- 09:06, Hardwick B. (Behind),
- 10:40, Wood M. (Behind),
- 13:30, Wilson D. (Behind),
- 14:53, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:45, Watson N. (G),
- 22:35, King M. (Behind),
- 24:35, Garcia H. (Behind),
- 25:39, Breust L. (G),
- 29:27, Watson N. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (4 - 14)
- 02:27, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 05:45, Battle J. (G),
- 08:09, Membrey T. (Behind),
- 14:36, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 18:18, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:41, King M. (G),
- 22:41, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:14, King M. (Behind),
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 14).Last 5 head-to-head matches Hawthorn won 1. The game of competitors is shaky now. Hawthorn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Recently Hawthorn have a series of guest games. St Kilda will have a mini benefit in this match. Our prediction for today's St Kilda to win the game is with odds 1.51.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Hawthorn won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1466-1348. Including matches at home between the teams Hawthorn won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 572-562.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 29.07.23 | Hawthorn Hawks - St Kilda Saints | 93:122 | | 26.05.23 | St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks | 78:88 | | 30.07.22 | St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks | 75:63 | | 10.04.22 | Hawthorn Hawks - St Kilda Saints | 73:142 | | 01.05.21 | St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks | 128:59 | | 05.09.20 | St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks | 80:66 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 20.02.20 | St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks | 111:90 |
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