Match Info
AFL - Round 4Date: 5 April 2026, SundayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
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Western Bulldogs |
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Essendon Bombers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.01 |
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19 |
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1.01 |
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9 |
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 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.01
(1.01) |
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14 ↓
(21) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 188.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-73)
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Western Bulldogs
93.3% | Essendon Bombers
6.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 131:58 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (44 - 9)
- 05:15, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 06:41, Duursma X. (Behind),
- 07:22, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 09:58, Bramble L. (G),
- 11:09, Williams B. (G),
- 12:47, Darcy S. (G),
- 15:49, Darcy S. (G),
- 19:11, May A. (G),
- 24:04, Guelfi M. (Behind),
- 24:30, Jones A. (G),
- 26:30, Jones A. (G),
- 29:22, (Behind Rushed),
- 31:01, (Behind Rushed),
- 2nd Quarter (23 - 4)
- 04:44, Darcy S. (Behind),
- 06:29, Naughton A. (G),
- 08:25, Kennedy M. (G),
- 09:42, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 12:24, May A. (Behind),
- 15:44, Day-Wicks A. (Behind),
- 16:58, Jones A. (G),
- 18:32, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:38, Dolan J. (Behind),
- 20:51, Darcy S. (Behind),
- 22:41, El-Hawli S. (Behind),
- 24:51, Bramble L. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (7 - 26)
- 00:52, Edwards T. (G),
- 02:20, Gresham J. (G),
- 04:29, Jaques L. (Behind),
- 06:19, Edwards T. (G),
- 08:02, Jones A. (Behind),
- 09:26, West R. (Behind),
- 12:49, Wright P. (G),
- 14:44, West R. (Behind),
- 16:45, McNeil L. (Behind),
- 18:44, Edwards T. (Behind),
- 20:43, (Behind Rushed),
- 23:23, Wright P. (Behind),
- 27:35, Darcy S. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (25 - 26)
- 01:48, Wright P. (Behind),
- 03:10, Naughton A. (G),
- 07:06, Dolan J. (G),
- 08:15, Gresham J. (G),
- 12:01, Edwards T. (Behind),
- 13:06, Naughton A. (G),
- 14:42, Gresham J. (G),
- 16:49, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 19:04, May A. (G),
- 20:31, Darcy S. (G),
- 23:26, Caldwell J. (G),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 4.Essendon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Western is the undisputed favorite.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Western won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1629:1087. (average 95.8:63.9).Including home matches between the teams, Western won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 881:738. (average 97.9:82).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 25.07.25 | Essendon Bombers - Western Bulldogs | 50:143 | | 17.05.25 | Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers | 127:36 | | 12.04.24 | Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers | 67:96 | | 21.07.23 | Essendon Bombers - Western Bulldogs | 49:90 | | 01.05.22 | Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers | 103:71 | | 29.08.21 | Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers | 85:36 | | 08.08.21 | Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers | 84:97 |
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