Match Info
AFL - Round 10Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 |
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Essendon Bombers |
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Fremantle Dockers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5 |
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1.18 |
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 |
4.4 |
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1.16 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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5.2 |
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1.13 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.87 ↓
(6.5) |
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1.16 ↑
(1.11) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-30)
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Essendon Bombers
19.2% | Fremantle Dockers
80.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Fremantle Dockers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Essendon Bombers - Fremantle Dockers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:99 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (9 - 34)
- 00:30, Bolton S. (G),
- 02:12, Treacy J. (G),
- 04:32, Frederick M. (G),
- 06:36, Amiss J. (Behind),
- 08:31, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 09:33, Robey S. (G),
- 11:06, Treacy J. (Behind),
- 17:56, Day-Wicks A. (Behind),
- 18:39, Dudley I. (G),
- 19:55, Reid M. (Behind),
- 22:08, Treacy J. (G),
- 24:31, Amiss J. (Behind),
- 28:28, Setterfield W. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (5 - 32)
- 00:48, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:16, Scerri C. (G),
- 10:16, Voss P. (G),
- 11:51, Merrett Z. (Behind),
- 13:28, Voss P. (G),
- 14:58, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:30, (Behind Rushed),
- 22:30, Langford K. (Behind),
- 24:14, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:52, Voss P. (G),
- 28:08, Voss P. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (16 - 18)
- 07:41, Amiss J. (G),
- 09:34, Duursma X. (Behind),
- 10:56, Voss P. (G),
- 12:27, Caldwell J. (Behind),
- 14:32, May A. (G),
- 16:45, Caddy N. (G),
- 20:20, Perkins A. (Behind),
- 23:22, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:16, Jackson L. (G),
- 4th Quarter (31 - 20)
- 01:37, Worner K. (Behind),
- 03:26, May A. (G),
- 04:58, Parish D. (G),
- 13:19, Reid M. (Behind),
- 15:02, Bolton S. (G),
- 20:26, Caddy N. (G),
- 22:17, Robey S. (G),
- 25:32, Reid M. (G),
- 27:41, Amiss J. (G),
- 29:35, Redman M. (Behind),
- 31:49, Setterfield W. (G),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 2.Essendon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Fremantle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins). In this match, Fremantle is the clear favorite.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1157:1390. (average 68.1:81.8).Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 546:529. (average 78:75.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 19.06.25 | Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers | 104:63 | | 04.08.24 | Essendon Bombers - Fremantle Dockers | 90:89 | | 24.06.23 | Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers | 93:61 | | 17.04.22 | Essendon Bombers - Fremantle Dockers | 59:107 | | 15.05.21 | Essendon Bombers - Fremantle Dockers | 68:61 | | 20.03.20 | Essendon Bombers - Fremantle Dockers | 63:57 | | 17.08.19 | Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers | 55:87 |
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