Match Info
AFL - Round 21Date: 2 August 2026, SundayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2 |
Australia | AFL TV, Fox Footy |
Canada | fubo Sports Network |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5 |
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Essendon Bombers |
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Adelaide Crows |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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7 |
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1.1 |
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6 |
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1.09 |
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Watch |
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6.8 |
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1.1 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.6 ↓ (6.75) |
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1.1 ↑ (1.09) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 172.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-39)
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Essendon Bombers 14.2% | Adelaide Crows 85.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Essendon Bombers - Adelaide Crows Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:106 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (19 - 44)
- 01:36, Clarke A. (G),
- 04:34, Wright P. (G),
- 06:12, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 10:35, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 13:19, Artemis J. (Behind),
- 15:06, El Achkar H. (G),
- 17:29, Dowling B. (Behind),
- 20:58, Dowling B. (G),
- 26:03, Dowling B. (Behind),
- 27:36, Walker T. (G),
- 29:12, Ah Chee C. (G),
- 32:47, Rankine I. (G),
- 34:33, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (14 - 22)
- 01:57, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
- 04:23, Wright P. (G),
- 06:31, McAndrew L. (Behind),
- 08:54, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
- 10:00, Rankine I. (G),
- 11:52, Rachele J. (G),
- 19:12, Curtin D. (Behind),
- 20:41, Wright P. (G),
- 22:14, Kako I. (Behind),
- 23:23, Walker T. (G),
- 25:04, Redman M. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (14 - 31)
- 01:28, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 03:07, Walker T. (Behind),
- 05:03, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 07:18, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 08:30, El Achkar H. (G),
- 13:39, Keays B. (G),
- 18:11, Hall-Kahan H. (G),
- 23:01, Ah Chee C. (G),
- 24:35, Ryan O. (G),
- 26:57, Jones H. (G),
- 4th Quarter (26 - 48)
- 01:52, Keays B. (G),
- 04:38, Wright P. (G),
- 06:19, Wright P. (G),
- 08:46, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 12:17, Rachele J. (G),
- 14:35, Rankine I. (G),
- 16:43, Wright P. (Behind),
- 19:45, Ludowyke A. (G),
- 21:39, Wright P. (G),
- 26:17, Dowling B. (G),
- 27:24, Dowling B. (G),
- 29:40, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 31:17, Caddy N. (G),
- 33:11, Keays B. (G),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 3.Recent form of Essendon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Adelaide has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Essendon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Adelaide is the obvious favorite.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1356:1553. (average 79.8:91.4).Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 854:966. (average 85.4:96.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 21.03.25 | Essendon Bombers - Adelaide Crows | 100:161 | | 19.07.24 | Essendon Bombers - Adelaide Crows | 113:115 | | 19.04.24 | Adelaide Crows - Essendon Bombers | 75:78 | | 09.07.23 | Essendon Bombers - Adelaide Crows | 115:97 | | 09.04.22 | Essendon Bombers - Adelaide Crows | 103:99 | | 09.07.21 | Essendon Bombers - Adelaide Crows | 84:21 | | 25.07.20 | Adelaide Crows - Essendon Bombers | 59:62 |
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