The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Adelaide Power 11.9%
Draw 1.2%
Fremantle Dockers 86.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.2%
72.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
71.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Adelaide Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Adelaide Power's form might have worsened.
Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fremantle Dockers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Adelaide Power, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fremantle Dockers than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fremantle Dockers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Port Adelaide Power - Fremantle Dockers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:94
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (33 - 31)
00:28, Zadow M. (G),
02:03, O'Meara J. (Behind),
03:19, Zadow M. (Behind),
09:13, Whitlock J. (G),
12:40, Amiss J. (G),
14:20, Frederick M. (G),
16:57, Whitlock J. (Behind),
18:19, Treacy J. (G),
22:02, Berry J. (Behind),
23:13, Richards J. (G),
25:59, Visentini D. (G),
27:49, Visentini D. (G),
30:02, Voss P. (G),
31:52, Young H. (G),
2nd Quarter (21 - 11)
01:06, Berry J. (G),
03:02, Whitlock J. (Behind),
04:12, Zadow M. (Behind),
07:13, (Behind Rushed),
07:56, Amiss J. (G),
10:21, Whitlock J. (Behind),
11:44, Amiss J. (Behind),
14:07, Erasmus N. (Behind),
15:20, Cox M. (Behind),
18:15, Dudley I. (Behind),
25:39, Durdin C. (G),
26:46, Zadow M. (G),
3rd Quarter (7 - 38)
02:37, Jackson L. (G),
04:56, Treacy J. (G),
06:21, Amiss J. (G),
09:09, Amiss J. (Behind),
10:14, Treacy J. (G),
12:56, Frederick M. (G),
16:25, (Behind Rushed),
20:49, (Behind Rushed),
25:53, Zadow M. (G),
27:56, Amiss J. (G),
4th Quarter (14 - 23)
01:03, (Behind Rushed),
01:45, (Behind Rushed),
05:18, Cox M. (Behind),
07:49, Erasmus N. (G),
10:45, Dudley I. (G),
12:28, Durdin C. (G),
15:13, Treacy J. (Behind),
18:48, Dudley I. (Behind),
20:27, Burgoyne J. (G),
25:38, Zadow M. (Behind),
28:16, Frederick M. (G),
30:07, Dudley I. (Behind),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 3.
Recent performances by Port Adelaide have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fremantle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Fremantle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Fremantle is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1748:1478. (average 87.4:73.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 846:513. (average 105.8:64.1).
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