Match Info
AFL - Round 22Date: 8 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL TV, Fox Footy |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 3 |
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Geelong Cats |
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Essendon Bombers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.01 |
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17 |
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1.02 |
100.00 |
9.00 |
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 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.02
(1.02) |
50
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13 ↓
(15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-64)
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats
91% | Draw
1.8% | Essendon Bombers
7.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 123:59 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (29 - 4)
- 03:36, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:00, Prior J. (Behind),
- 07:28, Dempsey O. (G),
- 09:05, Neale S. (G),
- 13:32, Henry O. (G),
- 14:55, (Behind Rushed),
- 16:49, Henry O. (Behind),
- 19:08, McGrath A. (Behind),
- 20:19, Kako I. (Behind),
- 24:30, (Behind Rushed),
- 26:49, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 28:08, Dempsey O. (G),
- 29:16, Close B. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (40 - 12)
- 04:45, Henry O. (G),
- 06:42, Miers G. (Behind),
- 07:19, Henry O. (Behind),
- 08:10, Dempsey O. (G),
- 10:38, Henry O. (G),
- 14:59, Dempsey O. (G),
- 16:57, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:22, Polkinghorne J. (G),
- 20:03, Martin J. (G),
- 23:58, Close B. (Behind),
- 27:46, Farrow J. (G),
- 30:35, Roberts A. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (20 - 27)
- 01:23, Polkinghorne J. (Behind),
- 02:54, Durham S. (Behind),
- 06:01, Perkins A. (G),
- 08:08, Caldwell J. (Behind),
- 09:26, Henry O. (G),
- 13:19, Caddy N. (G),
- 16:49, Neale S. (Behind),
- 18:14, Farrow J. (G),
- 21:38, (Behind Rushed),
- 23:12, El Achkar H. (G),
- 25:41, Martin J. (G),
- 27:13, Mannagh S. (G),
- 4th Quarter (28 - 7)
- 02:05, Perkins A. (G),
- 04:42, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:01, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:59, Neale S. (G),
- 17:44, Clark J. (G),
- 23:58, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:25, Neale S. (G),
- 26:46, O'Connor M. (Behind),
- 28:09, Close B. (Behind),
- 31:23, Bruhn T. (G),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 18).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 4.Geelong has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Essendon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Geelong is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1990:1411. (average 99.5:70.6).Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1492:1015. (average 99.5:67.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 08.08.25 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 109:65 | | 14.06.25 | Essendon Bombers - Geelong Cats | 56:151 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 25.02.25 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 83:104 | | AFL | | | 29.06.24 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 105:60 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 01.03.24 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 83:71 | | AFL | | | 15.07.23 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 122:45 | | 29.04.23 | Essendon Bombers - Geelong Cats | 104:132 |
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