Match Info
AFL - Round 20Date: 25 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV |
 Canada | TSN 2 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 8 |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 4 |
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Hawthorn Hawks |
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Essendon Bombers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.02 |
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15 |
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 |
1.01 |
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9 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.04 |
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8.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.02
(1.02) |
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10.8 ↓
(15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-60)
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hawthorn Hawks
91.3% | Essendon Bombers
8.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 115:55 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (23 - 15)
- 03:17, Durham S. (Behind),
- 04:12, Kako I. (Behind),
- 05:24, Day W. (G),
- 07:14, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 10:12, Impey J. (Behind),
- 11:39, Wright P. (G),
- 14:04, (Behind Rushed),
- 15:34, Sicily J. (Behind),
- 21:58, Watson N. (Behind),
- 23:08, Caddy N. (G),
- 25:21, Day W. (G),
- 29:37, Sharp D. (Behind),
- 32:42, Watson N. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (39 - 2)
- 04:44, Chol M. (G),
- 09:20, Cox N. (Behind),
- 13:26, Gunston J. (G),
- 15:07, Gunston J. (G),
- 17:18, Watson N. (G),
- 20:57, Gunston J. (G),
- 23:27, (Behind Rushed),
- 26:13, Impey J. (Behind),
- 27:32, Morrison H. (G),
- 29:13, (Behind Rushed),
- 31:29, Durham S. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (36 - 7)
- 01:18, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:51, Caddy N. (G),
- 10:43, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 12:53, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 13:44, Gunston J. (G),
- 15:30, Gunston J. (G),
- 17:10, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:27, Gunston J. (G),
- 21:21, Watson N. (Behind),
- 25:41, Mackenzie C. (Behind),
- 26:41, Gunston J. (G),
- 29:29, Mackenzie C. (G),
- 30:53, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (34 - 15)
- 03:02, Wright P. (G),
- 05:05, Caddy N. (G),
- 07:30, Watson N. (G),
- 08:36, Chol M. (Behind),
- 09:15, (Behind Rushed),
- 15:23, Chol M. (G),
- 17:29, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 20:07, Redman M. (Behind),
- 22:50, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 24:45, Roberts A. (Behind),
- 25:47, Greeves O. (Behind),
- 27:34, Impey J. (G),
- 29:05, Watson N. (G),
- 30:36, Moore D. (G),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 2.Hawthorn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Essendon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Hawthorn is the undisputed favorite.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1660:1523. (average 92.2:84.6).Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 541:561. (average 90.2:93.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 13.03.26 | Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks | 83:145 | | 14.03.25 | Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers | 111:85 | | 15.03.24 | Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks | 107:83 | | 19.03.23 | Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers | 65:124 | | 07.05.22 | Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks | 108:81 | | 20.06.21 | Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers | 73:86 | | 20.03.21 | Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks | 91:92 |
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