Match Info

AFL - Round 20

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: The Gabba (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
Australia	AFL TV, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4


	Brisbane Lions		Port Adelaide Power

	1	X	2
	1.1		7
	1.08	125.00	6.50
				Watch
	1.12	101.00	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↑ (1.06)	75.33	6.3 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 189.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-47)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Lions
84.1%

Draw
1.2%

Port Adelaide Power
14.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

90%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Lions's form might have worsened.

Port Adelaide Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 119:72

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (22 - 15)
01:48, Ashcroft W. (G),
06:54, Cameron C. (Behind),
07:50, Lohmann K. (G),
10:33, Cameron C. (Behind),
12:47, Hipwood E. (Behind),
13:15, Georgiades M. (Behind),
14:19, (Behind Rushed),
16:04, Bailey Z. (G),
18:26, Marshall T. (G),
22:07, Georgiades M. (G),
25:30, (Behind Rushed),
28:33, Morris L. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (16 - 14)
01:55, (Behind Rushed),
02:56, Morris L. (Behind),
04:41, Whitlock J. (Behind),
06:54, Sweet J. (Behind),
07:56, Durdin C. (G),
13:45, Visentini D. (G),
16:43, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
17:03, Rayner C. (G),
18:14, Tunstill J. (Behind),
23:11, Morris L. (G),
3rd Quarter (43 - 23)
03:49, Marshall T. (Behind),
07:00, Georgiades M. (Behind),
07:55, Rayner C. (G),
10:05, Cameron C. (G),
11:17, Horne-Francis J. (G),
13:20, Georgiades M. (Behind),
15:15, Bailey Z. (G),
17:08, Lohmann K. (Behind),
18:42, Aliir A. (Behind),
20:38, Burgoyne J. (G),
21:48, Bailey Z. (G),
23:32, Georgiades M. (G),
25:22, Lohmann K. (G),
26:22, Draper S. (G),
27:55, Georgiades M. (Behind),
31:22, Ashcroft W. (G),
4th Quarter (45 - 15)
01:03, Morris L. (G),
04:06, Morris L. (G),
06:55, McCluggage H. (G),
09:33, Hipwood E. (G),
11:19, Marshall T. (G),
13:16, Morris L. (Behind),
14:30, Lohmann K. (G),
17:44, Cameron C. (G),
20:17, Visentini D. (G),
22:01, (Behind Rushed),
22:52, Neale L. (Behind),
24:05, (Behind Rushed),
25:04, Cameron C. (G),
26:51, Bailey Z. (Behind),
28:50, Bergman M. (Behind),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4.

Brisbane is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Port Adelaide has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brisbane is the obvious favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1698:1829. (average 89.4:96.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 933:904. (average 93.3:90.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Lions
AFL
18.07.26	West Coast Eagles - Brisbane Lions	69:93 ✺
12.07.26	Brisbane Lions - Essendon Bombers	149:59 ✺
02.07.26	Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions	101:123 ✺
25.06.26	Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans	126:83 ✺
13.06.26	Richmond Tigers - Brisbane Lions	80:115 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Port Adelaide Power
AFL
17.07.26	Port Adelaide Power - Fremantle Dockers	75:103 ✺
10.07.26	St Kilda Saints - Port Adelaide Power	87:73 ✺
05.07.26	Port Adelaide Power - North Melbourne Kangaroos	73:52 ✺
27.06.26	Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows	97:71 ✺
20.06.26	Collingwood Magpies - Port Adelaide Power	78:51 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL
05.07.25	Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power	120:92
21.06.24	Port Adelaide Power - Brisbane Lions	73:152
09.09.23	Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power	123:75
18.03.23	Port Adelaide Power - Brisbane Lions	126:72
19.03.22	Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power	80:69
01.05.21	Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power	93:44
04.07.20	Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power	85:48

Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide