The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fremantle Dockers 73.7%
St Kilda Saints 26.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
74.6%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fremantle Dockers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Fremantle Dockers - St Kilda Saints Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:73
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (19 - 25)
00:49, Hall M. (G),
09:21, Hall M. (G),
11:57, Wilson D. (Behind),
15:25, Amiss J. (G),
20:16, Treacy J. (G),
22:31, (Behind Rushed),
23:47, Henry L. (G),
26:30, Voss P. (G),
27:41, Wood M. (G),
2nd Quarter (25 - 20)
03:42, (Behind Rushed),
05:21, Phillipou M. (G),
07:06, Amiss J. (G),
11:05, Amiss J. (G),
12:50, Wood M. (Behind),
14:13, Voss P. (G),
17:42, Phillipou M. (G),
23:19, Wood M. (G),
26:19, Treacy J. (Behind),
29:02, Frederick M. (G),
3rd Quarter (21 - 14)
01:04, Switkowski S. (G),
04:37, Hill B. (G),
07:23, Erasmus N. (G),
09:19, Sharman C. (Behind),
12:47, Dudley I. (G),
18:13, Bolton S. (Behind),
20:07, Wood M. (Behind),
25:31, Treacy J. (Behind),
26:08, Henry L. (G),
28:06, Reid M. (Behind),
4th Quarter (39 - 15)
00:24, O'Connell L. (Behind),
02:55, Wilson D. (G),
05:41, Jackson L. (Behind),
06:32, Treacy J. (G),
09:51, Reid M. (G),
10:56, Frederick M. (Behind),
13:07, Dudley I. (G),
18:48, Amiss J. (G),
22:28, Garcia H. (Behind),
24:12, Bolton S. (G),
26:03, Wood M. (Behind),
27:27, Voss P. (G),
28:37, Bolton S. (Behind),
30:03, Hill B. (G),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fremantle won 3.
Fremantle is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
St Kilda has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
St Kilda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Fremantle is a strong favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Fremantle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1205:1346. (average 66.9:74.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Fremantle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 555:491. (average 79.3:70.1).
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