Match Info

AFL - Round 15

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Footy, Fox Sports 503
New-zealand	Sky Sport Select
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	St Kilda Saints		Western Bulldogs

	1	X	2
	1.82		2
	1.78	100.00	1.95
				Watch
	1.75	81.00	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.89)	60.33	1.97 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Kilda Saints
51.6%

Draw
1.5%

Western Bulldogs
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western Bulldogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. St Kilda will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Western will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:90

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (22 - 20)
01:49, West R. (Behind),
02:37, Wilson D. (Behind),
03:31, Lewis W. (G),
05:12, Lewis W. (G),
06:27, Kennedy L. (G),
09:08, Hall M. (Behind),
11:30, De Koning T. (G),
13:24, Sharman C. (G),
19:59, Higgins J. (G),
27:53, Hynes C. (Behind),
29:41, De Koning T. (Behind),
30:33, Higgins J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (9 - 27)
01:07, (Behind Rushed),
03:30, Hynes C. (G),
09:43, Naughton A. (G),
11:31, Wilson D. (G),
14:48, Marshall R. (Behind),
17:49, Richards E. (Behind),
21:40, (Behind Rushed),
22:50, (Behind Rushed),
25:33, Bontempelli M. (G),
28:20, Kennedy M. (G),
31:31, Freijah J. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (13 - 11)
01:24, McNeil L. (G),
04:05, Sanders R. (Behind),
06:30, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
07:35, Jones A. (Behind),
09:58, Croft J. (Behind),
10:48, Lewis W. (Behind),
12:14, Lake C. (G),
16:26, West R. (Behind),
25:27, (Behind Rushed),
4th Quarter (17 - 25)
03:45, Owens M. (Behind),
04:54, Jones A. (G),
09:04, Lobb R. (G),
14:22, Hall M. (Behind),
16:05, Lobb R. (G),
19:40, Garcia H. (G),
20:49, Naughton A. (G),
23:08, Naughton A. (Behind),
24:39, Wilkie C. (Behind),
28:19, Owens M. (Behind),
29:10, Byrnes R. (G),
31:03, Sharman C. (Behind),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Western may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1304:1660. (average 65.2:83).

Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 755:948. (average 68.6:86.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Kilda Saints
AFL
14.06.26	St Kilda Saints - Greater Western Sydney Giants	96:88 ✺
07.06.26	Sydney Swans - St Kilda Saints	104:102 ✺
28.05.26	St Kilda Saints - Hawthorn Hawks	67:119 ✺
22.05.26	Fremantle Dockers - St Kilda Saints	104:74 ✺
17.05.26	St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers	109:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW
- Western Bulldogs
AFL
11.06.26	Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows	64:121 ✺
05.06.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs	71:77 ✺
30.05.26	Western Bulldogs - Collingwood Magpies	97:93 ✺
24.05.26	Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons	93:90 ✺
16.05.26	Carlton Blues - Western Bulldogs	74:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL
12.06.25	St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs	60:132
20.04.25	Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints	127:56
18.04.24	St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs	64:124
25.03.23	Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints	41:92
15.07.22	Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints	84:56
22.05.21	Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints	144:33
03.10.20	St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs	67:64

St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide