Match Info
AFL - Round 14Date: 12 June 2025, ThursdayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
St Kilda Saints |
|
Western Bulldogs |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4 |
|
1.27 |
|
 |
3.37 |
|
1.26 |
|
 |
3.32 |
|
1.31 |
 Watch |
 |
3.4 |
|
1.3 |
|
 |
3.72 |
|
1.26 |
|
 |
3.37 |
|
1.26 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(3.35) |
|
1.28 ↓
(1.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-23)
- The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St Kilda Saints
26.6% | Western Bulldogs
73.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Kilda Saints that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western Bulldogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +22.5 Points, OT - Western (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Western (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:96 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (10 - 26)
- 01:04, Sinclair J. (Behind),
- 02:17, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:54, Darcy S. (Behind),
- 10:02, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:20, Khamis B. (G),
- 13:00, Wood M. (Behind),
- 16:28, Sanders R. (G),
- 19:03, Higgins J. (Behind),
- 22:39, Freijah J. (G),
- 26:41, Higgins J. (G),
- 28:40, Darcy S. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (26 - 38)
- 00:55, (Behind Rushed),
- 03:01, Naughton A. (G),
- 05:11, Richards E. (G),
- 07:03, Naughton A. (G),
- 08:45, Keeler I. (G),
- 11:26, Khamis B. (G),
- 12:47, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
- 14:18, Darcy S. (Behind),
- 15:38, Darcy S. (G),
- 18:22, Sharman C. (G),
- 22:29, (Behind Rushed),
- 23:32, Windhager M. (G),
- 29:27, Davidson S. (G),
- 30:45, Wood M. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (15 - 41)
- 02:55, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:17, English T. (G),
- 06:49, Owens M. (Behind),
- 07:40, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:45, Owens M. (Behind),
- 10:18, Darcy S. (G),
- 12:37, Sanders R. (G),
- 13:55, Davidson S. (Behind),
- 14:58, Naughton A. (G),
- 22:19, West R. (Behind),
- 25:08, Byrnes R. (G),
- 26:46, McNeil L. (G),
- 28:16, West R. (G),
- 29:36, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
- 32:05, West R. (Behind),
- 33:16, (Behind Rushed),
- 4th Quarter (9 - 27)
- 00:50, Sinclair J. (Behind),
- 02:29, Hill B. (G),
- 03:49, Liberatore T. (Behind),
- 04:50, Marshall R. (Behind),
- 05:56, Hynes C. (G),
- 10:50, Kennedy M. (G),
- 15:31, Treloar A. (G),
- 17:17, Wood M. (Behind),
- 21:31, (Behind Rushed),
- 24:56, English T. (Behind),
- 28:12, Kennedy M. (G),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Western may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Western is a strong favorite. We predict that Western will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1244:1528. (average 65.5:80.4).Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 695:816. (average 69.5:81.6).
banner
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 20.04.25 | Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints | 127:56 | | 18.04.24 | St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs | 64:124 | | 25.03.23 | Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints | 41:92 | | 15.07.22 | Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints | 84:56 | | 22.05.21 | Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints | 144:33 | | 03.10.20 | St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs | 67:64 | | 14.06.20 | St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs | 88:49 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
