Match Info
AFL - Round 14Date: 12 June 2026, FridayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV |
 Usa | FOX Sports 2 |
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Melbourne Demons |
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Essendon Bombers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.17 |
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5.25 |
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1.19 |
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4 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.20 |
81.00 |
4.00 |
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Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↑
(1.14) |
27
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4.42 ↓
(5.75) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 157.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-30)
- The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Melbourne Demons
76.2% | Draw
3.3% | Essendon Bombers
20.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Demons's form might have worsened.Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Melbourne Demons - Essendon Bombers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:64 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (34 - 16)
- 01:17, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:44, McKay B. (Behind),
- 03:28, El Achkar H. (Behind),
- 04:34, Gawn M. (G),
- 06:27, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 10:36, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:33, Pickett K. (G),
- 13:49, Durham S. (Behind),
- 18:21, Laurie B. (Behind),
- 18:40, Langdon E. (G),
- 20:50, Setterfield W. (G),
- 23:13, Petty H. (G),
- 24:30, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:08, McKay B. (G),
- 29:40, Langford H. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (30 - 7)
- 04:32, Pickett K. (G),
- 07:08, Gawn M. (G),
- 09:25, Kentfield L. (Behind),
- 11:59, Langford H. (Behind),
- 15:30, Caddy N. (G),
- 16:47, Laurie B. (Behind),
- 18:36, Rivers T. (G),
- 21:24, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 24:20, Chandler K. (Behind),
- 26:22, Pickett K. (G),
- 27:54, McKay B. (Behind),
- 30:26, Turner D. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (10 - 20)
- 02:29, (Behind Rushed),
- 03:59, Cox N. (G),
- 05:59, McKay B. (Behind),
- 07:31, El Achkar H. (G),
- 09:23, Robey S. (G),
- 11:27, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 13:56, Kentfield L. (Behind),
- 16:49, Sparrow T. (Behind),
- 25:57, Petty H. (G),
- 27:23, Chandler K. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (21 - 7)
- 01:00, Day-Wicks A. (Behind),
- 02:03, Reid Z. (Behind),
- 03:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:11, Fritsch B. (Behind),
- 06:56, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:08, Melksham J. (G),
- 10:34, Chandler K. (G),
- 12:39, Setterfield W. (Behind),
- 17:12, Melksham J. (G),
- 19:06, (Behind Rushed),
- 20:38, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:46, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
- 23:08, Tsatas E. (Behind),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 18).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 2.Melbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Essendon has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1169:1319. (average 73.1:82.4).Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 427:440. (average 85.4:88).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 10.04.26 | Essendon Bombers - Melbourne Demons | 113:68 | | 12.04.25 | Melbourne Demons - Essendon Bombers | 57:96 | | 13.07.24 | Melbourne Demons - Essendon Bombers | 84:67 | | 15.04.23 | Essendon Bombers - Melbourne Demons | 104:77 | | 01.04.22 | Melbourne Demons - Essendon Bombers | 99:70 | | 26.06.21 | Essendon Bombers - Melbourne Demons | 57:68 | | 19.09.20 | Essendon Bombers - Melbourne Demons | 49:68 |
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