The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Richmond Tigers 34.5%
Essendon Bombers 65.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.6%
63.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
58%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:90
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (29 - 14)
03:35, Taranto T. (Behind),
05:36, Parish D. (Behind),
06:21, Short J. (Behind),
08:24, Cumming S. (G),
10:06, Caddy N. (G),
11:36, Caddy N. (Behind),
12:21, (Behind Rushed),
12:54, May A. (G),
16:14, Green S. (G),
18:38, Ross J. (Behind),
19:55, Faull J. (G),
26:10, Green S. (G),
29:39, Campbell S. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (20 - 20)
02:15, Ross J. (G),
04:06, Ross J. (Behind),
08:40, Merrett Z. (G),
11:41, Balta N. (Behind),
14:26, Robey S. (Behind),
17:03, Caddy N. (G),
21:23, Lynch T. (G),
23:33, Lefau M. (G),
24:46, (Behind Rushed),
27:12, May A. (G),
3rd Quarter (9 - 12)
01:05, Short J. (G),
03:08, Lynch T. (Behind),
04:59, Perkins A. (Behind),
06:48, Lynch T. (Behind),
08:26, Caddy N. (Behind),
11:10, Farrow J. (Behind),
13:07, May A. (Behind),
14:38, (Behind Rushed),
17:54, Parish D. (Behind),
21:55, May A. (G),
25:59, Prior J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (16 - 10)
03:17, Alger J. (Behind),
05:10, Caldwell J. (G),
07:27, (Behind Rushed),
10:16, Lynch T. (G),
13:05, Caddy N. (Behind),
14:30, Green S. (Behind),
19:54, Gresham J. (Behind),
21:59, Roberts-Thomson N. (G),
23:46, (Behind Rushed),
26:02, Sonsie T. (Behind),
28:47, Day-Wicks A. (Behind),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 2.
Richmond has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Essendon is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Essendon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1744:1314. (average 87.2:65.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 704:579. (average 78.2:64.3).
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