Match Info
AFLDate: 6 March 2026, FridayLocation: People First Stadium (Gold Coast)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
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Gold Coast Suns |
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Geelong Cats |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gold Coast Suns
62.1% | Geelong Cats
37.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gold Coast Suns's performance.Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong Cats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gold Coast will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Geelong will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Geelong (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:75 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (43 - 14)
- 00:47, Humphrey B. (G),
- 03:14, Mannagh S. (G),
- 06:37, Knevitt M. (Behind),
- 08:29, Anderson N. (Behind),
- 09:21, Humphrey B. (G),
- 13:22, Worpel J. (Behind),
- 15:17, Lombard L. (G),
- 17:03, Humphrey B. (G),
- 18:17, Clark J. (G),
- 25:32, Petracca C. (G),
- 29:03, Noble J. (G),
- 31:34, King B. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (28 - 15)
- 01:48, Anderson N. (Behind),
- 04:10, Humphrey B. (Behind),
- 08:21, Petracca C. (G),
- 09:37, Bruhn T. (Behind),
- 11:21, Knevitt M. (G),
- 12:58, Read E. (Behind),
- 15:37, King B. (G),
- 19:46, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 22:28, Miller T. (G),
- 24:30, Henry O. (G),
- 27:33, Anderson N. (Behind),
- 29:28, O'Connor M. (Behind),
- 31:00, Long B. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (45 - 8)
- 01:31, Humphrey B. (G),
- 03:18, Humphrey B. (Behind),
- 04:21, Rioli D. (Behind),
- 05:30, Neale S. (Behind),
- 06:42, Neale S. (Behind),
- 07:53, Petracca C. (G),
- 11:18, Anderson N. (Behind),
- 12:27, King B. (G),
- 15:15, Lombard L. (G),
- 18:47, King B. (G),
- 22:11, Long B. (G),
- 25:41, Noble J. (G),
- 29:32, Dempsey O. (G),
- 4th Quarter (9 - 32)
- 02:28, Dempsey O. (G),
- 04:34, Neale S. (G),
- 05:44, Lombard L. (Behind),
- 08:10, Dempsey O. (G),
- 09:41, Dempsey O. (G),
- 17:35, (Behind Rushed),
- 20:42, Graham W. (Behind),
- 23:04, Miers G. (Behind),
- 25:12, Anderson N. (G),
- 27:40, Henry O. (G),
- 30:47, Lombard L. (Behind),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 3. Gold Coast is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1420:1667. (average 74.7:87.7).Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1019:888. (average 84.9:74).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 07.06.25 | Geelong Cats - Gold Coast Suns | 61:37 | | 16.05.24 | Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats | 164:100 | | 02.04.23 | Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats | 73:54 | | 13.08.22 | Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats | 59:119 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 07.03.22 | Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats | 95:72 | | AFL | | | 22.05.21 | Geelong Cats - Gold Coast Suns | 91:57 | | 04.07.20 | Geelong Cats - Gold Coast Suns | 89:52 |
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