The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats 64.1%
Draw 1.6%
Brisbane Lions 34.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.2%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.5%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Geelong Cats's form might have worsened.
Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Geelong Cats, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 171.5 Points, OT - under (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:76
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (11 - 48)
00:55, Cameron C. (G),
02:12, Cameron C. (G),
04:11, Mannagh S. (Behind),
05:11, Neale S. (Behind),
07:14, Morris L. (G),
10:11, Ashcroft L. (G),
12:22, Bailey Z. (G),
13:47, Bailey Z. (G),
16:51, Neale S. (Behind),
19:26, Morris L. (G),
26:26, (Behind Rushed),
27:20, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
28:29, Lohmann K. (G),
30:40, Dangerfield P. (G),
2nd Quarter (42 - 12)
00:13, (Behind Rushed),
02:12, Smith B. (Behind),
02:42, Martin J. (Behind),
03:50, Neale S. (G),
04:59, Dangerfield P. (G),
07:59, (Behind Rushed),
11:46, (Behind Rushed),
13:14, Neale S. (G),
15:33, Martin J. (G),
19:29, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
19:57, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
22:48, Lohmann K. (G),
24:57, Martin J. (G),
28:16, McKenna C. (Behind),
29:47, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
30:28, Neale S. (G),
32:10, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
33:47, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
34:56, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (27 - 50)
02:38, McKenna C. (Behind),
03:01, Dempsey O. (G),
04:50, (Behind Rushed),
05:25, Morris L. (G),
07:31, Dunkley J. (G),
09:32, Rayner C. (G),
11:42, Blicavs M. (Behind),
13:20, (Behind Rushed),
14:19, Wiltshire O. (G),
17:38, McKenna C. (G),
18:46, Bailey Z. (G),
21:03, Dangerfield P. (G),
23:45, Lohmann K. (G),
25:17, Dangerfield P. (G),
27:51, Cameron C. (Behind),
29:29, Lohmann K. (G),
32:52, McKenna C. (G),
4th Quarter (21 - 13)
01:16, Mullin O. (G),
07:03, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
09:58, Mannagh S. (Behind),
11:33, Berry J. (Behind),
16:05, Lohmann K. (G),
20:15, O’Sullivan C. (Behind),
21:38, Dangerfield P. (G),
25:00, Dempsey O. (G),
30:49, Fort D. (G),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Geelong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1634:1402. (average 81.7:70.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 797:706. (average 88.6:78.4).
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