The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats 67%
St Kilda Saints 33%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
71.1%
1%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Kilda Saints's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Geelong Cats - St Kilda Saints Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 2 - 40%). St Kilda will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:81
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (26 - 12)
00:49, Mannagh S. (G),
04:39, Atkins T. (G),
06:06, (Behind Rushed),
08:26, Dempsey O. (Behind),
16:38, Polkinghorne J. (G),
19:06, Worpel J. (G),
26:21, Garcia H. (G),
29:01, Marshall R. (G),
2nd Quarter (24 - 11)
02:47, Polkinghorne J. (Behind),
04:05, Holmes M. (Behind),
05:41, Miers G. (G),
09:09, Ryan L. (Behind),
11:54, Miers G. (G),
14:33, Henry O. (G),
16:28, (Behind Rushed),
17:30, Mannagh S. (Behind),
18:36, Polkinghorne J. (Behind),
19:09, Hall M. (Behind),
23:35, (Behind Rushed),
25:01, Higgins J. (G),
28:15, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
29:57, Marshall R. (Behind),
30:52, Phillipou M. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (27 - 25)
02:17, Neale S. (G),
03:58, Humphries L. (Behind),
05:53, Marshall R. (G),
06:59, Mannagh S. (Behind),
08:10, Lake C. (G),
12:39, Ryan L. (G),
14:34, Sharman C. (Behind),
15:16, Dangerfield P. (G),
19:15, Dempsey O. (G),
22:14, Hall M. (G),
25:39, Miers G. (G),
30:55, Polkinghorne J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (25 - 27)
04:26, Smith B. (G),
07:36, Henry O. (G),
10:53, Dempsey O. (G),
12:23, Higgins J. (Behind),
12:51, Silvagni J. (G),
14:33, Atkins T. (Behind),
16:19, Polkinghorne J. (G),
24:16, (Behind Rushed),
26:02, Hall M. (G),
28:11, Ryan L. (G),
30:00, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
31:34, Henry L. (Behind),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 2.
Geelong has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
St Kilda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Geelong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
We predict that St Kilda will win today's game, with odds of 2.46.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 1630:1214. (average 90.6:67.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 841:472. (average 93.4:52.4).
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