The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats 74.8%
Draw 1.8%
Gold Coast Suns 23.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
73.5%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.3%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Geelong Cats - Gold Coast Suns Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Gold Coast will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 102:75
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (25 - 19)
00:36, Atkins T. (G),
08:48, King B. (G),
09:56, De Koning S. (Behind),
12:06, Long B. (Behind),
18:06, Walter J. (G),
21:05, Lombard L. (G),
23:26, Neale S. (G),
25:05, Wiltshire O. (G),
28:08, Dangerfield P. (G),
2nd Quarter (26 - 4)
00:40, Cameron J. (Behind),
02:06, Uwland Z. (Behind),
05:50, Long B. (Behind),
07:40, Dempsey O. (G),
12:50, Walter J. (Behind),
14:54, Cameron J. (Behind),
19:11, Cameron J. (G),
20:39, Henry O. (G),
22:37, Gulbin L. (Behind),
26:07, Cameron J. (G),
3rd Quarter (20 - 16)
03:40, Rowell M. (Behind),
06:29, O'Connor M. (Behind),
07:13, (Behind Rushed),
09:51, Petracca C. (Behind),
11:02, King B. (G),
13:39, (Behind Rushed),
14:23, Henry O. (Behind),
16:23, Petracca C. (G),
18:29, Neale S. (G),
20:27, Wiltshire O. (G),
25:20, Anderson N. (Behind),
26:41, (Behind Rushed),
29:01, Guthrie Z. (Behind),
29:42, (Behind Rushed),
30:23, Cameron J. (Behind),
31:25, Henry O. (Behind),
4th Quarter (34 - 21)
01:50, Rowell M. (G),
03:08, Cameron J. (Behind),
04:43, Uwland Z. (Behind),
09:02, Holmes M. (G),
14:23, Dempsey O. (Behind),
16:32, Dempsey O. (G),
18:32, (Behind Rushed),
19:26, Cameron J. (G),
22:07, Cameron J. (Behind),
23:10, Long B. (G),
24:33, Uwland Z. (G),
26:40, Henry O. (G),
29:35, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
31:20, Wiltshire O. (G),
33:06, King B. (Behind),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Gold Coast has had a series of home games.
In this match, Geelong is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1736:1545. (average 86.8:77.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 779:401. (average 111.3:57.3).
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