Match Info
AFL - Round 18Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Engie Stadium (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Australia | AFL TV |
 Canada | TSN 5 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Greater Western Sydney Giants |
|
Geelong Cats |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
|
1.72 |
|
 |
2.15 |
100.00 |
1.65 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
2.17 |
80.00 |
1.67 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.6) |
60
|
1.68 ↑
(1.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 185.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Greater Western Sydney Giants
43.1% | Draw
1.5% | Geelong Cats
55.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greater Western Sydney Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greater Western Sydney Giants's performance.Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong Cats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greater Western Sydney Giants that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+14.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong Cats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
Greater Western Sydney Giants will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:96 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (14 - 32)
- 04:24, Dempsey O. (G),
- 06:49, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 08:22, Mannagh S. (G),
- 09:57, Brown C. (G),
- 11:41, (Behind Rushed),
- 13:49, Cadman A. (G),
- 16:00, Dempsey O. (G),
- 17:42, Mannagh S. (G),
- 21:51, Hamilton R. (Behind),
- 29:11, (Behind Rushed),
- 32:22, Dempsey O. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (10 - 17)
- 04:26, Wiltshire O. (G),
- 05:34, Bedford T. (G),
- 07:19, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:02, Coniglio S. (Behind),
- 11:33, Stringer J. (Behind),
- 15:25, Henry J. (Behind),
- 17:39, Cadman A. (Behind),
- 18:37, Knevitt M. (Behind),
- 20:29, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 21:51, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 25:05, Martin J. (Behind),
- 26:00, Henry O. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (16 - 18)
- 00:23, Smith B. (G),
- 06:14, Stringer J. (Behind),
- 12:05, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:02, Knevitt M. (G),
- 15:55, O'Halloran X. (Behind),
- 21:29, Gothard P. (Behind),
- 22:08, Mannagh S. (G),
- 25:10, Stringer J. (G),
- 27:25, Bedford T. (G),
- 4th Quarter (46 - 6)
- 02:36, Gothard P. (G),
- 04:20, Brown C. (G),
- 08:31, Briggs K. (G),
- 13:58, (Behind Rushed),
- 15:23, Hamilton R. (G),
- 19:46, O'Halloran X. (Behind),
- 21:51, Mannagh S. (G),
- 24:43, Himmelberg H. (G),
- 28:20, Brown C. (G),
- 31:07, (Behind Rushed),
- 34:19, Callaghan F. (G),
- 36:29, (Behind Rushed),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GWS won 4.GWS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Geelong is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Geelong will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, GWS won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1309:1496. (average 77:88).Including home matches between the teams, GWS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 635:710. (average 79.4:88.8).
banner
Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 8 | Geelong Cats | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 1766:1520 | 116.18 | 40 |
|
|
| 11 | GWS Giants | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 1557:1533 | 101.57 | 32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Last Results with these Odds
Geelong Cats - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 12.07.25 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Geelong Cats | 111:85 | | 11.05.25 | Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants | 101:105 | | 25.05.24 | Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants | 74:78 | | 27.05.23 | Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants | 74:81 | | 07.05.22 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Geelong Cats | 35:88 | | 03.09.21 | Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants | 103:68 | | 06.08.21 | Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants | 65:84 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
