The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats 62.4%
Sydney Swans 37.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.7%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Geelong Cats - Sydney Swans Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 102:87
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (22 - 26)
02:02, Cleary C. (G),
03:34, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
04:57, McInerney J. (Behind),
09:15, Cameron J. (G),
11:57, Amartey J. (G),
15:44, Neale S. (Behind),
17:18, Henry O. (G),
18:57, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
20:56, Henry O. (Behind),
24:29, Henry O. (G),
26:19, Amartey J. (G),
28:47, Henry O. (Behind),
30:18, Amartey J. (G),
2nd Quarter (36 - 12)
02:26, McInerney J. (G),
03:55, Henry J. (Behind),
04:42, Neale S. (Behind),
06:59, Mannagh S. (Behind),
07:54, Martin J. (Behind),
09:34, Humphries L. (G),
10:56, Cameron J. (G),
12:57, Close B. (G),
16:39, Atkins T. (G),
23:39, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
24:15, Dempsey O. (Behind),
25:53, Mannagh S. (G),
31:09, Heeney I. (G),
3rd Quarter (27 - 33)
01:30, Wicks S. (Behind),
04:23, Martin J. (G),
08:44, O’Sullivan C. (G),
10:34, (Behind Rushed),
11:55, Henry J. (G),
15:20, Hanily T. (G),
17:00, Amartey J. (G),
20:41, Smith B. (G),
22:33, Close B. (Behind),
23:25, Holmes M. (Behind),
24:00, Curnow C. (G),
26:09, Sheldrick A. (Behind),
27:26, Papley T. (Behind),
30:01, McDonald L. (G),
32:59, McDonald L. (G),
4th Quarter (22 - 9)
00:55, Cleary C. (Behind),
03:22, Cameron J. (G),
05:29, Dangerfield P. (G),
07:31, Martin J. (Behind),
09:32, Amartey J. (Behind),
11:09, Close B. (G),
14:13, Curnow C. (G),
15:31, (Behind Rushed),
18:27, Henry J. (Behind),
21:16, (Behind Rushed),
23:08, Cleary C. (Behind),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.
Geelong is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sydney is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Geelong might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 1657:1591. (average 82.9:79.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 883:690. (average 88.3:69).
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