Match Info

AFL - Round 15

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Engie Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV
Usa	FOX Sports 2


	Greater Western Sydney Giants		Carlton Blues

	1	X	2
	1.28		3.75
	1.30	100.00	3.30
				Watch
	1.29	101.00	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.47)	67	3.45 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 186.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-22)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greater Western Sydney Giants
71.8%

Draw
1.4%

Carlton Blues
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greater Western Sydney Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greater Western Sydney Giants's performance.

Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlton Blues might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. GWS will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 104:82

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (17 - 12)
02:15, Daniels B. (G),
03:27, Cottrell M. (Behind),
04:58, Ainsworth B. (G),
06:25, Bedford T. (Behind),
08:39, (Behind Rushed),
09:45, Kemp B. (Behind),
10:56, Hogan J. (G),
14:12, Stringer J. (Behind),
15:10, Coniglio S. (Behind),
16:26, Hogan J. (Behind),
18:11, Kemp B. (Behind),
21:28, Ison J. (Behind),
23:03, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
27:22, Hogan J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (19 - 35)
01:13, Hewett G. (G),
02:35, Cadman A. (Behind),
05:13, Greene T. (G),
06:43, Evans F. (G),
09:42, Evans F. (G),
13:18, Byrne T. (Behind),
14:19, Stone C. (G),
17:42, Walsh S. (Behind),
18:59, Kemp B. (G),
25:11, Stone C. (G),
29:08, Hayward W. (G),
30:29, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
32:40, Kemp B. (Behind),
34:19, (Behind Rushed),
3rd Quarter (25 - 20)
02:04, Evans F. (G),
04:04, Cottrell M. (G),
06:54, Newman N. (Behind),
11:45, Greene T. (G),
15:07, Stone C. (Behind),
19:28, Kemp B. (Behind),
22:47, Cadman A. (G),
25:25, Greene T. (G),
27:41, Gothard P. (G),
30:09, Walsh S. (G),
4th Quarter (4 - 21)
01:40, Hayward W. (G),
04:48, Greene T. (Behind),
05:55, Hewett G. (Behind),
08:15, Kemp B. (Behind),
12:12, Brown C. (Behind),
13:00, Cottrell M. (G),
15:52, McKay H. (G),
18:09, McKay H. (Behind),
20:10, Hogan J. (Behind),
25:28, Gothard P. (Behind),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GWS won 3.

Recent performances by GWS have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carlton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, GWS is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, GWS won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1866:1558. (average 93.3:77.9).

Including home matches between the teams, GWS won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1000:799. (average 90.9:72.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greater Western Sydney Giants
AFL
14.06.26	St Kilda Saints - Greater Western Sydney Giants	96:88 ✺
31.05.26	Melbourne Demons - Greater Western Sydney Giants	70:119 ✺
23.05.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Brisbane Lions	166:88 ✺
17.05.26	West Coast Eagles - Greater Western Sydney Giants	88:71 ✺
09.05.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Essendon Bombers	103:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW
- Carlton Blues
AFL
07.06.26	Essendon Bombers - Carlton Blues	67:72 ✺
29.05.26	Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats	88:84 ✺
23.05.26	Port Adelaide Power - Carlton Blues	58:92 ✺
16.05.26	Carlton Blues - Western Bulldogs	74:62 ✺
08.05.26	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	100:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL
23.05.25	Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants	82:110
AAMI Community Series
28.02.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues	66:124
AFL
06.07.24	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues	116:104
20.04.24	Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants	117:98
27.08.23	Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants	73:105
01.04.23	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues	64:74
23.07.22	Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants	90:54

Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide