The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Melbourne Demons 46.4%
Greater Western Sydney Giants 53.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.7%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Demons's form might have worsened.
Greater Western Sydney Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greater Western Sydney Giants's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greater Western Sydney Giants, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Melbourne Demons - Greater Western Sydney Giants Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 50%). GWS will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:91
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (22 - 24)
01:07, Gruzewski M. (G),
03:11, Greene T. (G),
05:27, Pickett L. (Behind),
08:55, Mihocek B. (G),
10:38, Gawn M. (Behind),
15:05, Chandler K. (Behind),
16:50, Mihocek B. (G),
19:30, Cadman A. (G),
20:39, Pickett L. (Behind),
24:53, Callaghan F. (G),
26:52, Pickett K. (G),
2nd Quarter (22 - 32)
02:12, Greene T. (Behind),
03:00, (Behind Rushed),
06:05, Bedford T. (G),
08:13, (Behind Rushed),
11:27, Thomas H. (G),
13:04, Greene T. (G),
15:28, Mihocek B. (G),
16:35, Gothard P. (G),
19:09, Gothard P. (Behind),
20:50, Sharp H. (Behind),
22:31, Stringer J. (G),
26:14, Jefferson M. (G),
27:25, Langford H. (Behind),
31:12, Pickett L. (G),
3rd Quarter (16 - 31)
05:58, Thomas H. (G),
09:17, Brown C. (G),
11:40, Sharp H. (Behind),
13:20, Stringer J. (Behind),
14:26, Bedford T. (G),
16:20, Sharp H. (Behind),
19:31, Brown C. (G),
24:01, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
24:36, Rivers T. (G),
26:13, Briggs K. (G),
28:57, Sparrow T. (G),
30:51, Cross P. (Behind),
4th Quarter (10 - 32)
02:56, Gruzewski M. (G),
04:33, Brown C. (G),
06:23, Greene T. (G),
08:44, Steele J. (G),
09:52, Gothard P. (Behind),
15:59, (Behind Rushed),
16:31, Greene T. (Behind),
19:03, Gruzewski M. (G),
22:48, Callaghan F. (G),
24:22, (Behind Rushed),
28:14, (Behind Rushed),
29:08, Langdon E. (Behind),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
GWS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1341:1376. (average 74.5:76.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 908:833. (average 82.5:75.7).
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