The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greater Western Sydney Giants 26.7%
Draw 1.5%
Fremantle Dockers 71.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.9%
67.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
62.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greater Western Sydney Giants's form might have worsened.
Fremantle Dockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greater Western Sydney Giants, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fremantle Dockers than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fremantle Dockers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Greater Western Sydney Giants - Fremantle Dockers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:100
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (33 - 31)
00:51, Stringer J. (G),
02:15, Greene T. (Behind),
05:52, Reid M. (Behind),
07:50, Coniglio S. (G),
09:56, Jackson L. (G),
11:14, Greene T. (Behind),
12:09, Stringer J. (G),
16:24, Treacy J. (G),
18:13, Erasmus N. (G),
21:25, Greene T. (G),
23:48, Jackson L. (G),
25:31, Voss P. (G),
28:15, Delana J. (Behind),
30:21, Brown C. (G),
2nd Quarter (25 - 14)
07:05, Stringer J. (G),
09:17, Bolton S. (G),
10:43, O'Driscoll N. (G),
12:53, Greene T. (G),
16:51, Voss P. (Behind),
18:58, Cadman A. (G),
20:06, (Behind Rushed),
24:07, Cadman A. (Behind),
25:31, Stringer J. (G),
3rd Quarter (29 - 20)
04:19, Amiss J. (G),
07:08, Stringer J. (Behind),
08:32, Stringer J. (Behind),
11:07, Voss P. (Behind),
12:42, Switkowski S. (Behind),
14:06, Greene T. (Behind),
14:39, Rowston H. (G),
17:43, Reid M. (G),
19:07, Hamilton R. (Behind),
20:40, Stone C. (G),
21:50, (Behind Rushed),
23:44, Stringer J. (G),
25:49, Cadman A. (G),
28:58, Voss P. (G),
4th Quarter (22 - 23)
01:54, (Behind Rushed),
03:00, (Behind Rushed),
06:56, Thomas H. (Behind),
08:17, Stringer J. (G),
10:18, Delana J. (Behind),
10:55, Erasmus N. (Behind),
11:56, Reid M. (Behind),
13:20, Hamilton R. (Behind),
15:41, Cadman A. (Behind),
16:46, Stringer J. (G),
18:30, Switkowski S. (Behind),
22:07, Treacy J. (G),
24:10, Greene T. (G),
26:22, Dudley I. (G),
28:06, Treacy J. (G),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GWS won 2.
GWS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fremantle is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Fremantle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Fremantle is considered a favorite.
We predict that Fremantle will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, GWS won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1191:1274. (average 74.4:79.6).
Including home matches between the teams, GWS won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 728:592. (average 91:74).
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