Match Info
AFLDate: 7 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Engie Stadium (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 4 |
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Greater Western Sydney Giants |
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Hawthorn Hawks |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Greater Western Sydney Giants
39.4% | Hawthorn Hawks
60.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greater Western Sydney Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. GWS will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hawthorn will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. GWS (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:92 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (51 - 32)
- 01', Stringer J. (Behind),
- 03', Riccardi J. (G),
- 04', (Behind Rushed),
- 05', Ginnivan J. (G),
- 09', Meek L. (G),
- 14', Gruzewski M. (G),
- 16', Riccardi J. (G),
- 19', Brown C. (G),
- 20', Stringer J. (G),
- 22', Hogan J. (G),
- 24', Watson N. (G),
- 27', Gunston J. (G),
- 29', Hogan J. (G),
- 31', Moore D. (Behind),
- 32', Stringer J. (Behind),
- 34', Hogan J. (G),
- 36', Butler S. (G),
- 37', Gothard P. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (31 - 15)
- 04', (Behind Rushed),
- 05', Gunston J. (G),
- 08', Gruzewski M. (G),
- 10', Stringer J. (G),
- 12', Ward J. (Behind),
- 20', Coniglio S. (G),
- 22', Chol M. (G),
- 24', Gunston J. (Behind),
- 26', Stringer J. (G),
- 29', Watson N. (Behind),
- 31', Riccardi J. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (32 - 26)
- 02', Watson N. (Behind),
- 03', Ginnivan J. (G),
- 06', Coniglio S. (G),
- 12', Stringer J. (G),
- 14', Butler S. (G),
- 16', Chol M. (Behind),
- 17', Lewis M. (G),
- 21', Chol M. (G),
- 22', Rowston H. (G),
- 24', Coniglio S. (Behind),
- 29', Stringer J. (G),
- 31', Oliver C. (G),
- 33', Stringer J. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (8 - 22)
- 01', Lewis M. (Behind),
- 03', (Behind Rushed),
- 05', (Behind Rushed),
- 06', Stringer J. (Behind),
- 11', Riccardi J. (Behind),
- 12', Watson N. (G),
- 17', Gunston J. (G),
- 22', Gunston J. (G),
- 24', Gothard P. (G),
- 29', Battle J. (Behind),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GWS won 2. Hawthorn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, GWS won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 1373:1438. (average 76.3:79.9).Including home matches between the teams, GWS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 951:875. (average 86.5:79.5).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 06.09.25 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks | 88:107 | | 29.03.25 | Hawthorn Hawks - Greater Western Sydney Giants | 76:64 | | 03.08.24 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks | 84:82 | | 07.06.24 | Hawthorn Hawks - Greater Western Sydney Giants | 85:79 | | 08.07.23 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks | 85:72 | | 16.04.23 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks | 77:75 | | 03.07.22 | Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks | 72:50 |
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