The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lions 52%
Hawthorn Hawks 48%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.9%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Lions's form might have worsened.
Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hawthorn Hawks's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawthorn Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:91
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (15 - 9)
00:53, Lohmann K. (Behind),
12:23, Gunston J. (G),
17:25, Morrison H. (Behind),
18:34, Morris L. (G),
19:44, (Behind Rushed),
22:46, Morris L. (G),
27:03, Bailey Z. (Behind),
27:48, (Behind Rushed),
29:15, Butler S. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (41 - 19)
00:55, Cameron C. (G),
02:42, Hipwood E. (G),
05:01, Morris L. (G),
09:19, Gunston J. (G),
12:01, (Behind Rushed),
14:00, Morris L. (G),
15:17, Lohmann K. (Behind),
17:37, D'Ambrosio M. (G),
19:12, Berry J. (Behind),
20:55, (Behind Rushed),
21:56, Mackenzie C. (Behind),
23:04, Lohmann K. (G),
25:13, Cameron C. (Behind),
27:37, Cameron C. (G),
32:47, Impey J. (G),
3rd Quarter (34 - 16)
02:16, (Behind Rushed),
03:21, Draper S. (G),
04:58, Moore D. (Behind),
05:48, Impey J. (Behind),
07:12, Watson N. (Behind),
08:24, Macdonald C. (G),
12:56, Cameron C. (Behind),
14:31, Hipwood E. (G),
16:54, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
18:46, Lohmann K. (G),
21:12, Lohmann K. (G),
22:53, Hipwood E. (Behind),
26:20, Moore D. (G),
27:40, Annable D. (G),
29:09, Allen O. (Behind),
4th Quarter (35 - 14)
04:35, Bailey Z. (Behind),
08:10, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
09:16, Rayner C. (Behind),
09:56, Lohmann K. (G),
12:05, Weddle J. (G),
13:51, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
14:53, Lohmann K. (G),
17:48, Newcombe J. (Behind),
19:20, Butler S. (Behind),
20:34, Lester R. (G),
23:43, Morris L. (Behind),
25:42, Rayner C. (G),
28:09, Cameron C. (G),
29:38, Gunston J. (G),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Brisbane will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1485:1624. (average 78.2:85.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 492:413. (average 82:68.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Brisbane Lions - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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