Match Info
AFL - Round 8Date: 4 May 2025, SundayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 4 |
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Hawthorn Hawks |
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Richmond Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.06 |
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10.5 |
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 |
1.05 |
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6.8 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.06 |
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8 |
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 |
1.04 |
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9.1 |
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 |
1.05 |
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6.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.05 ↓
(1.07) |
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8.24 ↓
(8.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 177.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-47)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hawthorn Hawks
88.7% | Richmond Tigers
11.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +60.5 Points, OT - Richmond (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +60.5 Points - Richmond (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Richmond (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 113:66 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (17 - 3)
- 01:29, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 04:19, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 06:31, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:18, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 09:52, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 10:46, Breust L. (G),
- 12:56, (Behind Rushed),
- 15:18, Rioli M. (Behind),
- 24:35, Green S. (Behind),
- 25:29, Maginness F. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (33 - 13)
- 04:40, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 10:17, Sicily J. (G),
- 12:20, Breust L. (Behind),
- 14:12, Mansell R. (Behind),
- 17:35, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:15, Chol M. (G),
- 23:57, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
- 25:13, Campbell S. (G),
- 27:00, Faull J. (G),
- 29:28, Gunston J. (G),
- 31:15, Watson N. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (27 - 12)
- 01:53, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 03:34, Mansell R. (G),
- 05:42, Hustwaite H. (Behind),
- 11:17, Watson N. (G),
- 15:00, Newcombe J. (Behind),
- 16:51, Green S. (G),
- 22:40, Gunston J. (G),
- 26:57, Meek L. (Behind),
- 29:37, Watson N. (G),
- 4th Quarter (32 - 16)
- 02:26, Mansell R. (Behind),
- 03:47, Watson N. (Behind),
- 05:26, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 06:10, Weddle J. (G),
- 08:03, D'Ambrosio M. (G),
- 10:40, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 15:58, D'Ambrosio M. (G),
- 20:31, Gunston J. (G),
- 23:36, Chol M. (G),
- 25:28, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 26:10, Brown T. (G),
- 28:19, Lalor S. (Behind),
- 29:39, Trezise J. (G),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 16).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 2.Hawthorn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Richmond is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Richmond may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Hawthorn is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 1639:1700. (average 82:85).Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 663:674. (average 82.9:84.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 18.08.24 | Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers | 131:68 | | 15.06.24 | Richmond Tigers - Hawthorn Hawks | 49:97 | | 21.07.23 | Richmond Tigers - Hawthorn Hawks | 96:95 | | 13.08.22 | Richmond Tigers - Hawthorn Hawks | 128:67 | | 13.05.22 | Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers | 94:117 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 04.03.22 | Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers | 69:94 | | AFL | | | 20.08.21 | Richmond Tigers - Hawthorn Hawks | 83:83 |
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