The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlton Blues 38%
Hawthorn Hawks 62%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.6%
63.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
66.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Carlton Blues - Hawthorn Hawks Predictions
Users Predictions:
Hawthorn Hawks will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:79
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (12 - 14)
02:37, McGovern M. (G),
03:52, Ginnivan J. (G),
16:45, Ginnivan J. (G),
23:07, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
24:39, Moore D. (Behind),
29:00, Riley F. (G),
2nd Quarter (1 - 19)
08:29, Ginnivan J. (G),
14:17, Gunston J. (G),
17:43, (Behind Rushed),
21:21, (Behind Rushed),
24:48, Morrison H. (G),
3rd Quarter (14 - 34)
02:15, Lewis M. (Behind),
03:25, Moore D. (G),
05:37, Cerra A. (Behind),
07:25, McGovern M. (G),
09:54, Gunston J. (G),
17:44, Cerra A. (G),
19:56, Ison J. (Behind),
21:46, (Behind Rushed),
22:18, Ward J. (G),
24:54, Chol M. (Behind),
27:35, (Behind Rushed),
28:59, Chol M. (G),
30:48, Lewis M. (G),
4th Quarter (12 - 36)
00:11, (Behind Rushed),
01:44, Day W. (G),
02:57, Chol M. (Behind),
05:54, Moore D. (G),
10:15, Gunston J. (G),
11:34, Ainsworth B. (G),
13:40, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
19:45, Hill M. (G),
21:32, Newcombe J. (Behind),
23:26, Chol M. (Behind),
24:31, Hill M. (G),
27:25, Byrne T. (G),
31:09, Gunston J. (Behind),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 2.
Carlton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Hawthorn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Carlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Hawthorn might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Carlton will win today's game, with odds of 2.48.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1163:1571. (average 64.6:87.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 657:1004. (average 59.7:91.3).