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Current Win Probability
Western Bulldogs 46.4%
Melbourne Demons 53.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.3%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Bulldogs's form might have worsened.
Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Demons's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+22.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Bulldogs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-22.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:96
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (19 - 9)
03:47, Petty H. (Behind),
08:00, West R. (G),
10:58, Richards E. (G),
14:28, Lewis W. (G),
15:51, Laurie B. (G),
18:44, Treloar A. (Behind),
26:39, (Behind Rushed),
29:26, Langford H. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (32 - 34)
02:18, Bontempelli M. (G),
04:26, Jefferson M. (Behind),
05:47, Pickett K. (Behind),
06:53, Tholstrup K. (G),
09:01, Bontempelli M. (G),
10:49, Jones A. (G),
13:26, (Behind Rushed),
14:33, Jones A. (G),
16:28, Richards E. (G),
18:45, Petty H. (G),
22:02, Pickett K. (Behind),
26:39, (Behind Rushed),
28:03, Bowey J. (Behind),
31:05, Gawn M. (G),
32:20, Langford H. (G),
34:09, Rivers T. (G),
3rd Quarter (27 - 33)
02:24, Croft J. (G),
03:32, Jones A. (Behind),
04:24, Langford H. (G),
05:55, Naughton A. (G),
08:28, West R. (G),
10:42, Jefferson M. (Behind),
11:54, Lewis W. (Behind),
13:01, Turner D. (G),
14:06, Sharp H. (G),
23:54, Laurie B. (Behind),
24:45, (Behind Rushed),
27:05, Chandler K. (G),
28:26, Sanders R. (Behind),
30:00, Naughton A. (G),
31:10, Cross P. (G),
4th Quarter (15 - 14)
04:17, Sharp H. (G),
06:25, Dale B. (Behind),
07:10, Langdon E. (Behind),
08:10, Richards E. (G),
10:59, Jones A. (Behind),
13:39, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
21:53, Langdon E. (G),
24:44, Freijah J. (G),
27:20, Naughton A. (Behind),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 3.
Western is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Melbourne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Western may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1648:1792. (average 82.4:89.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 945:863. (average 85.9:78.5).
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