Match Info
AFL - Round 4Date: 5 April 2026, SundayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL |
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Melbourne Demons |
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Gold Coast Suns |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.5 |
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1.31 |
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 |
3.1 |
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1.3 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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3.15 |
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1.31 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↓
(3.6) |
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1.31 ↑
(1.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-22)
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Melbourne Demons
28.7% | Gold Coast Suns
71.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Melbourne Demons - Gold Coast Suns Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Gold Coast will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gold Coast (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:102 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (18 - 25)
- 01:10, King B. (G),
- 04:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:49, Culley J. (Behind),
- 08:04, Read E. (G),
- 09:34, Mihocek B. (G),
- 13:10, Uwland Z. (G),
- 15:54, Mihocek B. (Behind),
- 17:51, King B. (Behind),
- 19:27, King B. (G),
- 21:46, Culley J. (Behind),
- 22:26, Pickett L. (Behind),
- 24:55, Langdon E. (Behind),
- 28:31, Salem C. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (38 - 25)
- 00:23, Pickett L. (Behind),
- 01:51, Gulbin L. (G),
- 05:17, Mihocek B. (G),
- 07:08, Read E. (G),
- 08:31, Melksham J. (G),
- 10:50, Melksham J. (G),
- 13:17, Langford H. (G),
- 16:59, Sharp H. (G),
- 19:47, King B. (G),
- 21:50, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 26:10, Powell W. (G),
- 27:15, Sparrow T. (Behind),
- 29:26, Anderson N. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (34 - 26)
- 01:20, Uwland Z. (G),
- 03:32, Graham W. (G),
- 06:37, Tholstrup K. (G),
- 11:48, Melksham J. (G),
- 14:30, Walter J. (Behind),
- 15:14, Chandler K. (Behind),
- 17:16, Walter J. (G),
- 19:00, Gawn M. (G),
- 21:50, Lindsay X. (G),
- 23:19, Sharp H. (Behind),
- 24:16, Petty H. (Behind),
- 24:50, Read E. (G),
- 27:09, (Behind Rushed),
- 29:13, Pickett K. (G),
- 30:24, (Behind Rushed),
- 4th Quarter (19 - 13)
- 01:15, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
- 02:45, Melksham J. (G),
- 05:42, Langdon E. (G),
- 10:34, Miller T. (Behind),
- 13:04, Walter J. (G),
- 16:27, Pickett L. (G),
- 19:21, Jeffrey J. (G),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Gold Coast is seen as the favorite. We predict that Gold Coast will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1666:1335. (average 92.6:74.2).Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 720:670. (average 80:74.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 27.06.25 | Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons | 104:85 | | 28.03.25 | Melbourne Demons - Gold Coast Suns | 62:120 | | 16.08.24 | Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons | 63:117 | | 06.05.23 | Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons | 85:90 | | 26.03.22 | Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons | 69:82 | | 31.07.21 | Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons | 30:128 | | 11.07.20 | Melbourne Demons - Gold Coast Suns | 80:63 |
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