Match Info
AFL - Round 3Date: 29 March 2026, SundayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
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Carlton Blues |
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Melbourne Demons |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.1 |
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1.75 |
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1.9 |
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1.78 |
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Watch |
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Watch |
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1.95 |
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1.76 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↓ (2.05) |
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1.76 ↓ (1.78) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Carlton Blues 47.1% | Melbourne Demons 52.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:86 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (38 - 1)
- 04:53, Mihocek B. (Behind),
- 08:21, Smith J. (G),
- 09:55, Cripps P. (G),
- 14:02, McGovern M. (Behind),
- 15:25, Byrne T. (G),
- 20:12, McKay H. (G),
- 23:30, (Behind Rushed),
- 26:27, McGovern M. (G),
- 28:48, McGovern M. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (8 - 11)
- 00:39, Hollands E. (G),
- 03:03, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:19, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 16:05, Hewett G. (Behind),
- 18:13, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
- 20:06, Mihocek B. (Behind),
- 23:04, Sparrow T. (Behind),
- 25:55, Langford H. (G),
- 27:50, McGovern M. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (16 - 38)
- 04:55, Walsh S. (Behind),
- 06:41, Langdon E. (G),
- 08:15, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
- 08:59, Ainsworth B. (G),
- 10:31, Chandler K. (G),
- 12:03, Mihocek B. (G),
- 14:28, McGovern M. (G),
- 15:41, Evans F. (Behind),
- 17:19, Hewett G. (Behind),
- 20:27, Sparrow T. (G),
- 24:09, Fritsch B. (G),
- 27:19, Fritsch B. (G),
- 28:54, Fritsch B. (Behind),
- 30:17, (Behind Rushed),
- 4th Quarter (15 - 50)
- 00:51, Cross P. (G),
- 01:57, Hayward W. (Behind),
- 03:33, Walsh S. (Behind),
- 05:45, Hollands E. (G),
- 09:44, Carroll M. (G),
- 13:01, Sharp H. (G),
- 15:44, Fritsch B. (G),
- 16:51, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 22:00, Chandler K. (G),
- 23:54, Langford H. (G),
- 27:11, Pickett K. (G),
- 28:45, Fritsch B. (G),
- 30:06, McKay H. (Behind),
- 32:03, Langdon E. (G),
- 33:28, Mihocek B. (Behind),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 4.Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1381:1565. (average 69.1:78.3).Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 996:1058. (average 71.1:75.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 19.07.25 | Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons | 78:70 | | 09.05.24 | Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons | 77:76 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 28.02.24 | Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons | 63:101 | | AFL | | | 15.09.23 | Melbourne Demons - Carlton Blues | 71:73 | | 12.08.23 | Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons | 60:56 | | 02.06.23 | Melbourne Demons - Carlton Blues | 61:44 | | 13.08.22 | Melbourne Demons - Carlton Blues | 79:74 |
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