Match Info

AFL - Round 18

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 3


	Melbourne Demons		North Melbourne Kangaroos

	1	2
	1.2	4.6
	1.2	3.93
			Watch
	1.2	4.33
	1.18	4.52	Watch
	1.18	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.22)	4.3 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-29)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Demons
78.3%

North Melbourne Kangaroos
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. North Melbourne will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. North Melbourne (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 99:70

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (21 - 26)
06:35, Sparrow T. (Behind),
07:19, Simpkin J. (Behind),
08:15, Harvey C. (Behind),
09:51, Pickett K. (G),
11:05, Fritsch B. (G),
14:53, Harvey C. (G),
19:39, Darling J. (G),
21:18, Curtis P. (G),
23:18, Melksham J. (Behind),
24:40, Melksham J. (G),
28:50, Petracca C. (Behind),
30:01, Curtis P. (G),
2nd Quarter (20 - 10)
01:08, Darling J. (G),
02:59, Jefferson M. (G),
04:38, Langdon E. (G),
07:21, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
10:53, Pickett K. (Behind),
11:38, Chandler K. (G),
19:32, Hansen R. (Behind),
22:26, Philips W. (Behind),
25:05, Konstanty J. (Behind),
28:26, Harvey C. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (34 - 23)
01:30, (Behind Rushed),
03:36, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
05:44, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
07:24, Gawn M. (G),
09:19, Jefferson M. (Behind),
10:30, Fritsch B. (G),
13:00, Zurhaar C. (G),
15:25, Melksham J. (G),
17:14, Zurhaar C. (G),
18:56, Simpkin J. (Behind),
19:33, (Behind Rushed),
21:06, Zurhaar C. (G),
22:22, (Behind Rushed),
25:46, Chandler K. (G),
30:19, Oliver C. (Behind),
32:03, Van Rooyen J. (G),
33:40, (Behind Rushed),
4th Quarter (44 - 24)
01:07, Melksham J. (G),
03:53, Melksham J. (G),
07:10, Tholstrup K. (G),
09:22, Harvey C. (G),
11:19, Fritsch B. (G),
12:25, Melksham J. (G),
13:42, Darling J. (G),
15:47, Harvey C. (G),
21:49, Sparrow T. (G),
33:17, Petracca C. (G),
35:10, Harvey C. (G),
38:28, Petracca C. (Behind),
41:07, Jefferson M. (Behind),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.

Melbourne is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

North Melbourne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Melbourne is a strong favorite.

We predict that North Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 4.14.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1612:1579. (average 84.8:83.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 700:725. (average 87.5:90.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Demons
AFL
06.07.25	Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons	90:77 ✺
27.06.25	Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons	104:85 ✺
15.06.25	Port Adelaide Power - Melbourne Demons	93:68 ✺
09.06.25	Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies	71:72 ✺
01.06.25	Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints	63:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- North Melbourne Kangaroos
AFL
03.07.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Western Bulldogs	85:134 ✺
28.06.25	Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos	150:65 ✺
20.06.25	Carlton Blues - North Melbourne Kangaroos	73:84 ✺
14.06.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Fremantle Dockers	67:73 ✺
08.06.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - West Coast Eagles	62:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL
23.03.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	125:66
22.06.24	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	70:67
05.08.23	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	71:103
29.04.23	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	139:49
21.05.22	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	53:100
01.05.21	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	73:103
09.08.20	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	92:35

Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide