Match Info
AFL - Round 21Date: 31 July 2026, FridayLocation: University of Tasmania Stadium (Launceston)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV, Fox Sports 503 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 9 |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 5 |
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Hawthorn Hawks |
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North Melbourne Kangaroos |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.09 |
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7.5 |
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 |
1.12 |
125.00 |
5.50 |
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 Watch |
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1.1 |
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6.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.1 ↓
(1.15) |
41.67
|
6.6 ↑
(5.08) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 172.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-42)
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hawthorn Hawks
83.8% | Draw
2.2% | North Melbourne Kangaroos
14% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 107:65 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (9 - 26)
- 02:13, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 03:48, Meek L. (Behind),
- 05:54, (Behind Rushed),
- 06:21, Day W. (G),
- 11:51, Sheezel H. (G),
- 13:58, Larkey N. (G),
- 16:36, Scott B. (Behind),
- 19:29, Mackenzie C. (Behind),
- 23:57, Trembath C. (G),
- 28:15, Banch Z. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (37 - 20)
- 01:21, Chol M. (Behind),
- 02:03, Watson N. (G),
- 03:08, Watson N. (G),
- 04:27, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:08, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 09:51, Watson N. (G),
- 11:51, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 13:18, MacDonald B. (Behind),
- 13:58, Curtis P. (Behind),
- 14:50, McKercher C. (G),
- 16:29, Gunston J. (G),
- 19:01, Trembath C. (G),
- 21:08, Ward J. (G),
- 23:32, Curtis P. (G),
- 26:33, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 29:56, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 31:50, Chol M. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (22 - 23)
- 00:44, (Behind Rushed),
- 01:37, Watson N. (G),
- 04:18, McKercher C. (Behind),
- 06:12, Curtis P. (G),
- 07:49, Watson N. (G),
- 10:05, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:06, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 12:01, Schubert A. (Behind),
- 13:32, Schubert A. (Behind),
- 14:58, Chol M. (G),
- 16:12, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:58, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 22:07, Dawson W. (Behind),
- 25:11, Trembath C. (G),
- 27:13, Larkey N. (G),
- 4th Quarter (31 - 14)
- 00:33, Gunston J. (G),
- 03:13, Battle J. (G),
- 06:16, Impey J. (G),
- 13:33, Stephens D. (G),
- 17:32, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
- 18:40, Darling J. (Behind),
- 21:34, Chol M. (G),
- 23:24, O'Sullivan F. (Behind),
- 24:52, Sheezel H. (G),
- 27:07, Morrison H. (G),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 5.Hawthorn is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).North Melbourne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Hawthorn is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1985:1450. (average 99.3:72.5).Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1040:668. (average 104:66.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 28.06.25 | Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos | 150:65 | | 23.08.24 | Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos | 170:46 | | 21.04.24 | North Melbourne Kangaroos - Hawthorn Hawks | 68:113 | | 15.07.23 | North Melbourne Kangaroos - Hawthorn Hawks | 40:88 | | 31.03.23 | Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos | 80:61 | | 22.07.22 | North Melbourne Kangaroos - Hawthorn Hawks | 75:121 | | 19.03.22 | Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos | 78:58 |
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