Match Info
AFL - Round 13Date: 9 June 2025, MondayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
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Melbourne Demons |
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Collingwood Magpies |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 155.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-24)
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Melbourne Demons 25.1% | Collingwood Magpies 74.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-3.9%)Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 66:90 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (14 - 14)
- 01:08, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 03:07, Hill B. (Behind),
- 03:43, Sparrow T. (G),
- 17:59, McStay D. (G),
- 19:17, Rivers T. (Behind),
- 24:37, Elliott J. (G),
- 26:33, Tholstrup K. (G),
- 30:17, Hill B. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (16 - 24)
- 01:21, Pickett K. (G),
- 02:29, McCreery B. (G),
- 05:03, Petty H. (Behind),
- 11:59, Melksham J. (Behind),
- 17:39, Sidebottom S. (G),
- 19:15, Petracca C. (Behind),
- 24:10, Tholstrup K. (Behind),
- 25:40, Hayes W. (G),
- 27:39, Pickett K. (G),
- 30:53, Membrey T. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (20 - 19)
- 01:45, Mihocek B. (G),
- 08:37, Long N. (G),
- 10:26, Melksham J. (G),
- 13:10, Rivers T. (Behind),
- 14:40, Long N. (Behind),
- 15:50, Melksham J. (Behind),
- 19:00, Fritsch B. (G),
- 22:47, Hill B. (G),
- 28:47, Petty H. (G),
- 4th Quarter (21 - 15)
- 03:32, Fritsch B. (G),
- 06:10, Daicos N. (G),
- 07:50, Fritsch B. (G),
- 11:21, Fritsch B. (Behind),
- 12:27, Pickett K. (G),
- 14:13, (Behind Rushed),
- 16:19, McStay D. (G),
- 18:30, (Behind Rushed),
- 20:44, Gawn M. (Behind),
- 24:15, Daicos N. (Behind),
- 26:26, (Behind Rushed),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 1.Recent performances by Melbourne have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Collingwood is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, Collingwood is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1372:1588. (average 68.6:79.4).Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 879:1039. (average 67.6:79.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 23.08.24 | Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies | 57:103 | | 10.06.24 | Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons | 89:51 | | 07.09.23 | Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons | 60:53 | | 12.06.23 | Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies | 66:62 | | 05.08.22 | Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies | 89:96 | | 13.06.22 | Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons | 82:56 | | 14.06.21 | Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies | 63:80 |
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