The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Adelaide Crows 67.5%
Draw 3.3%
Melbourne Demons 29.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.1%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Demons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 99:80
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (22 - 30)
00:49, Walker T. (G),
03:53, Langford H. (G),
07:03, Rachele J. (Behind),
10:35, Dawson J. (G),
13:02, Van Rooyen J. (G),
15:02, Berry S. (Behind),
19:07, Peatling J. (Behind),
20:03, Rachele J. (G),
23:10, Jefferson M. (G),
24:38, Van Rooyen J. (G),
26:34, Van Rooyen J. (G),
28:26, Rachele J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (13 - 6)
03:15, Cross P. (Behind),
04:16, Dawson J. (G),
06:07, Chandler K. (Behind),
07:22, Cross P. (Behind),
09:36, Pickett K. (Behind),
14:06, Kentfield L. (Behind),
17:35, (Behind Rushed),
19:36, Rachele J. (Behind),
24:14, Fogarty D. (G),
3rd Quarter (19 - 20)
02:04, Langford H. (G),
03:52, Chandler K. (G),
08:25, Keays B. (G),
10:50, Milera W. (G),
13:58, Fogarty D. (G),
19:12, Cross P. (Behind),
20:10, Chandler K. (G),
23:38, Jefferson M. (Behind),
26:21, (Behind Rushed),
4th Quarter (25 - 6)
01:49, Rachele J. (G),
04', (Behind Rushed),
05:35, Jefferson M. (G),
11:52, (Behind Rushed),
15:51, (Behind Rushed),
19:03, Dawson J. (Behind),
21:53, Thiltorpe R. (G),
25:04, Curtin D. (Behind),
25:42, Rankine I. (Behind),
28:21, McAndrew L. (Behind),
30:49, Rachele J. (G),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
Adelaide is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Melbourne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Adelaide is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1518:1593. (average 84.3:88.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 761:806. (average 76.1:80.6).
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