The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gold Coast Suns 48.3%
Melbourne Demons 51.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.7%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
44.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Gold Coast Suns - Melbourne Demons Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:91
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (27 - 30)
01:17, King B. (G),
03:03, Van Rooyen J. (G),
05:17, Murray J. (Behind),
06:55, Sharp H. (G),
13:50, Pickett K. (G),
16:33, Fitzgerald J. (G),
19:26, Walter J. (G),
21:55, Long B. (G),
23:08, (Behind Rushed),
25:00, Fritsch B. (G),
26:18, (Behind Rushed),
29:25, Walter J. (G),
2nd Quarter (27 - 20)
00:24, (Behind Rushed),
01:00, Lombard L. (G),
02:11, Langdon E. (Behind),
03:40, Windsor C. (G),
05:27, (Behind Rushed),
14:54, Sparrow T. (G),
16:32, Walter J. (Behind),
18:35, Walter J. (G),
22:15, Miller T. (G),
27:23, Fritsch B. (G),
28:57, Walter J. (Behind),
31:46, Humphrey B. (G),
3rd Quarter (32 - 37)
01:51, King B. (Behind),
03:08, Fritsch B. (Behind),
06:42, King B. (Behind),
09:33, Humphrey B. (G),
11:19, Petty H. (G),
13:30, Read E. (G),
18:06, Long B. (G),
20:14, Laurie B. (G),
22:20, Sharp H. (G),
24:48, Fitzgerald J. (G),
27:02, King B. (G),
29:32, Long B. (G),
31:22, Van Rooyen J. (G),
33:07, Petty H. (G),
4th Quarter (19 - 27)
00:41, Rivers T. (Behind),
04:55, Gawn M. (Behind),
07:40, Van Rooyen J. (G),
10:09, Addinsall B. (G),
11:21, Windsor C. (G),
12:35, Lombard L. (Behind),
13:25, Rogers J. (G),
15:35, Petty H. (G),
21:34, Fitzgerald J. (Behind),
23:28, Langford H. (G),
30:09, Read E. (G),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 2.
Gold Coast has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Melbourne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1424:1775. (average 74.9:93.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 665:946. (average 73.9:105.1).