Match Info

AFL Women - Round 7

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Ikon Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Usa	FOX Sports 2


	Carlton Blues		Richmond Tigers

	1	X	2
	1.07		8.5
	1.16	75.00	4.70
	1.11		5.25
	1.13		5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.13)	18.75 ↓ (75)	6.06 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 80.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-24)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlton Blues
80.4%

Draw
4.8%

Richmond Tigers
14.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.1%

1.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 52:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (33 - 7)
2nd Quarter (19 - 13)
3rd Quarter (7 - 1)
4th Quarter (17 - 0)

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Carlton holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Carlton has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 179:190 (averaging 35.8:38 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Carlton against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 125:137 goals (averaging 41.7:45.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
6	Carlton Blues W	10	7	0	3	476:358	132.96	28
13	Richmond W	10	4	0	6	385:559	68.87	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlton Blues Women
AFL Women
18.09.26	Melbourne Demons - Carlton Blues	58:24 ✺
13.09.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues	33:23 ✺
06.09.26	Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies	68:29 ✺
30.08.26	Fremantle Dockers - Carlton Blues	42:48 ✺
23.08.26	Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows	50:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWW
- Richmond Tigers Women
AFL Women
19.09.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Richmond Tigers	61:68 ✺
12.09.26	Richmond Tigers - St Kilda Saints	58:43 ✺
05.09.26	Richmond Tigers - Fremantle Dockers	35:60 ✺
30.08.26	Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers	33:38 ✺
22.08.26	Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers	48:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
19.09.24	Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues	39:6
22.09.23	Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers	40:47
14.10.22	Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers	34:44
19.02.21	Carlton Blues - Richmond Tigers	51:46
07.02.20	Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues	14:48

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