Match Info

AFL - Round 14

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Adelaide Oval (Adelaide)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV
Germany	Magenta Sport
Usa	FOX Sports 2


	Port Adelaide Power		Sydney Swans

	1	X	2
	3.2		1.36
	2.7		1.4
				Watch
	2.70	67.00	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.2)	22.33	1.39 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Adelaide Power
31.3%

Draw
4%

Sydney Swans
64.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Adelaide Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney Swans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney Swans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Port Adelaide Power - Sydney Swans Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:87

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (24 - 20)
01:46, (Behind Rushed),
04:02, (Behind Rushed),
04:24, Curnow C. (G),
06:03, Georgiades M. (Behind),
07:17, Georgiades M. (Behind),
09:27, Sweet J. (Behind),
12:36, Bamert X. (Behind),
14:33, Lloyd J. (G),
17:41, Durdin C. (G),
18:59, Sweet J. (G),
21:20, (Behind Rushed),
22:07, Heeney I. (Behind),
24:13, Horne-Francis J. (G),
29:02, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
2nd Quarter (27 - 16)
01:33, (Behind Rushed),
05:15, Curnow C. (Behind),
07:06, Georgiades M. (G),
08:22, Sheldrick A. (Behind),
10:29, (Behind Rushed),
11:16, (Behind Rushed),
11:31, (Behind Rushed),
12:35, Cochrane T. (G),
16:00, Richards J. (G),
18:54, Amartey J. (G),
20:40, Berry J. (G),
22:19, McDonald L. (G),
24:27, Marshall T. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (20 - 26)
02:20, (Behind Rushed),
04:47, McDonald L. (G),
07:43, Bamert X. (G),
12:30, Curnow C. (G),
14:44, Bice R. (G),
17:12, Heeney I. (G),
19:40, Durdin C. (G),
21:30, Georgiades M. (Behind),
22:39, Butters Z. (G),
26:27, McLean H. (Behind),
30:23, Berry J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (19 - 31)
04:16, Heeney I. (Behind),
05:36, Curnow C. (G),
08:00, Warner C. (G),
11:24, Lloyd J. (G),
14:32, Berry J. (Behind),
17:04, McDonald L. (G),
20:42, Georgiades M. (G),
24:25, Horne-Francis J. (G),
28:14, Rowbottom J. (G),
31:43, Sweet J. (G),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 3.

Port Adelaide is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sydney is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Port Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Sydney will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1398:1332. (average 73.6:70.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Port Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 713:570. (average 71.3:57).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Adelaide Power
AFL
06.06.26	West Coast Eagles - Port Adelaide Power	71:77 ✺
23.05.26	Port Adelaide Power - Carlton Blues	58:92 ✺
15.05.26	Gold Coast Suns - Port Adelaide Power	98:73 ✺
08.05.26	Port Adelaide Power - Western Bulldogs	72:74 ✺
01.05.26	Adelaide Crows - Port Adelaide Power	76:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Sydney Swans
AFL
07.06.26	Sydney Swans - St Kilda Saints	104:102 ✺
29.05.26	Sydney Swans - Richmond Tigers	170:56 ✺
23.05.26	Geelong Cats - Sydney Swans	107:80 ✺
15.05.26	Sydney Swans - Collingwood Magpies	81:75 ✺
08.05.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	97:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL
21.06.25	Port Adelaide Power - Sydney Swans	52:71
20.04.25	Sydney Swans - Port Adelaide Power	77:85
20.09.24	Sydney Swans - Port Adelaide Power	95:59
03.08.24	Port Adelaide Power - Sydney Swans	148:36
08.04.23	Sydney Swans - Port Adelaide Power	64:66
17.06.22	Port Adelaide Power - Sydney Swans	82:59
26.06.21	Port Adelaide Power - Sydney Swans	81:71

Port Adelaide Power - Sydney Swans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide