The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Adelaide Power 24.8%
Draw 4.4%
Adelaide Crows 70.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.3%
64.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
61.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Adelaide Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Adelaide Power's form might have worsened.
Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Crows's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Adelaide Power, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide Crows, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Port Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:92
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (22 - 26)
01:01, (Behind Rushed),
02:40, Horne-Francis J. (G),
10:05, Georgiades M. (Behind),
11:41, Whitlock J. (Behind),
15:04, Fogarty D. (G),
16:25, Rachele J. (G),
20:55, Bamert X. (Behind),
21:43, Neal-Bullen A. (G),
23:37, Georgiades M. (G),
24:46, Georgiades M. (G),
26:21, Dawson J. (Behind),
27:01, Fogarty D. (Behind),
28:47, Thiltorpe R. (G),
2nd Quarter (32 - 12)
04:06, Fogarty D. (G),
07:35, Durdin C. (G),
12:23, Burgoyne J. (G),
14:26, Fogarty D. (G),
15:35, Whitlock J. (Behind),
19:43, Durdin C. (G),
21:16, Berry J. (G),
28:11, Berry J. (G),
30:06, (Behind Rushed),
3rd Quarter (31 - 14)
01:06, Bamert X. (G),
02:18, Zadow M. (G),
04:42, Georgiades M. (Behind),
05:43, Durdin C. (G),
08:40, Richards J. (Behind),
09:47, Georgiades M. (Behind),
11:05, Walker T. (Behind),
13:05, Zadow M. (Behind),
13:41, (Behind Rushed),
18:00, Fogarty D. (G),
19:21, Durdin C. (Behind),
21:18, Durdin C. (Behind),
24:51, Butters Z. (Behind),
25:55, Burgoyne J. (G),
28:31, Taylor Z. (G),
4th Quarter (12 - 19)
01:48, Horne-Francis J. (Behind),
02:46, Horne-Francis J. (Behind),
08:16, Keays B. (G),
09:49, Georgiades M. (G),
12:29, (Behind Rushed),
13:54, Mead J. (Behind),
20:30, Walker T. (Behind),
23:58, Horne-Francis J. (Behind),
24:39, Fogarty D. (G),
26:02, Taylor Z. (G),
27:53, Georgiades M. (Behind),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 1.
Recent form of Port Adelaide has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Adelaide is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Adelaide is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1588:1479. (average 79.4:74).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 819:642. (average 91:71.3).
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