Match Info

AFL - Round 15

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
Usa	FOX Sports 2


	Collingwood Magpies		Port Adelaide Power

	1	X	2
	1.52		2.55
	1.52		2.3
				Watch
	1.53	81.00	2.30
	1.41		2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)	20.25	2.46 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Collingwood Magpies
59.5%

Draw
4.4%

Port Adelaide Power
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Collingwood Magpies's form might have worsened.

Port Adelaide Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Collingwood Magpies - Port Adelaide Power Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Collingwood will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Collingwood (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:70

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 17)
02:29, Membrey T. (G),
06:12, Schultz L. (G),
07:45, (Behind Rushed),
08:56, Marshall T. (Behind),
11:23, Georgiades M. (G),
15:01, Bamert X. (G),
18:14, Podhajski M. (Behind),
22:35, Bamert X. (Behind),
24:00, (Behind Rushed),
25:41, Georgiades M. (Behind),
26:42, (Behind Rushed),
2nd Quarter (28 - 26)
01:38, Butters Z. (G),
05:08, Marshall T. (Behind),
08:19, MacKinlay E. (G),
10:35, Daicos N. (Behind),
12:10, Podhajski M. (Behind),
13:37, De Goey J. (Behind),
14:45, Whitlock J. (G),
17:48, De Goey J. (G),
21:03, Schultz L. (Behind),
21:42, De Goey J. (G),
24:51, Georgiades M. (Behind),
25:48, Daicos N. (G),
27:18, Whitlock J. (G),
28:52, McStay D. (G),
3rd Quarter (32 - 3)
01:37, Cochrane T. (Behind),
03:30, Membrey T. (G),
06:01, Lipinski P. (Behind),
08:42, Membrey T. (G),
11:01, Whitlock J. (Behind),
19:26, Buller J. (Behind),
22:23, Swadling S. (G),
29:37, Schultz L. (G),
32:20, Horne-Francis J. (Behind),
33:08, De Goey J. (G),
4th Quarter (4 - 5)
02:28, Georgiades M. (Behind),
04:46, Marshall T. (Behind),
06:08, (Behind Rushed),
07:00, (Behind Rushed),
11:45, Buller J. (Behind),
15:57, Buller J. (Behind),
19:52, (Behind Rushed),
21:16, Durdin C. (Behind),
22:36, Bamert X. (Behind),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 5.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Collingwood could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1406:1330. (average 78.1:73.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1067:900. (average 82.1:69.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Collingwood Magpies
AFL
08.06.26	Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons	75:83 ✺
30.05.26	Western Bulldogs - Collingwood Magpies	97:93 ✺
23.05.26	Collingwood Magpies - West Coast Eagles	92:82 ✺
15.05.26	Sydney Swans - Collingwood Magpies	81:75 ✺
09.05.26	Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies	122:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Port Adelaide Power
AFL
13.06.26	Port Adelaide Power - Sydney Swans	90:93 ✺
06.06.26	West Coast Eagles - Port Adelaide Power	71:77 ✺
23.05.26	Port Adelaide Power - Carlton Blues	58:92 ✺
15.05.26	Gold Coast Suns - Port Adelaide Power	98:73 ✺
08.05.26	Port Adelaide Power - Western Bulldogs	72:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL
15.03.25	Collingwood Magpies - Port Adelaide Power	136:45
19.04.24	Collingwood Magpies - Port Adelaide Power	123:81
22.07.23	Port Adelaide Power - Collingwood Magpies	83:85
24.03.23	Collingwood Magpies - Port Adelaide Power	135:64
29.07.22	Collingwood Magpies - Port Adelaide Power	88:82
23.07.21	Port Adelaide Power - Collingwood Magpies	97:69
23.05.21	Collingwood Magpies - Port Adelaide Power	58:59

Collingwood Magpies - Port Adelaide Power: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide