Match Info
AFL - Round 12Date: 29 May 2026, FridayLocation: Sydney Cricket Ground (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2 |
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Sydney Swans |
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Richmond Tigers |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 176.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-56)
- The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sydney Swans
90.7% | Richmond Tigers
9.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Sydney Swans - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 116:60 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (45 - 25)
- 00:51, Alger J. (G),
- 03:40, Jordon J. (G),
- 05:54, Heeney I. (G),
- 07:17, Roberts-Thomson N. (G),
- 09:42, Hanily T. (Behind),
- 13:15, Curnow C. (G),
- 14:27, Sonsie T. (G),
- 16:13, McDonald L. (Behind),
- 18:34, McDonald L. (G),
- 21:14, Curnow C. (G),
- 24:28, Hopper J. (Behind),
- 25:24, Alger J. (G),
- 27:49, Jordon J. (Behind),
- 30:02, Curnow C. (G),
- 33:32, Warner C. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (52 - 21)
- 00:35, Balta N. (Behind),
- 01:42, Curnow C. (G),
- 02:50, Curnow C. (G),
- 04:10, Cumming S. (G),
- 07:05, (Behind Rushed),
- 07:43, Hanily T. (Behind),
- 09:05, McLean H. (G),
- 10:29, Ladhams P. (G),
- 11:36, Warner C. (Behind),
- 14:11, McLean H. (G),
- 15:13, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
- 16:22, McDonald L. (G),
- 18:15, Bice R. (Behind),
- 19:04, Curnow C. (G),
- 22:25, Lefau M. (G),
- 24:26, Hayes-Brown O. (G),
- 27:41, Heeney I. (G),
- 32:23, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (49 - 3)
- 00:29, (Behind Rushed),
- 01:29, Ross J. (Behind),
- 01:52, Serong J. (Behind),
- 03:08, McLean H. (G),
- 07:42, Amartey J. (G),
- 09:23, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:05, McLean H. (G),
- 14:19, Curnow C. (G),
- 15:53, McDonald L. (Behind),
- 17:47, Taranto T. (Behind),
- 20:02, Vlastuin N. (Behind),
- 21:51, Sheldrick A. (Behind),
- 22:53, Heeney I. (Behind),
- 24:36, Heeney I. (G),
- 26:09, Heeney I. (G),
- 28:08, Cleary C. (Behind),
- 28:40, Warner C. (G),
- 4th Quarter (24 - 7)
- 02:16, Alger J. (G),
- 06:37, Amartey J. (Behind),
- 07:50, Jordon J. (Behind),
- 09:34, Amartey J. (Behind),
- 11:56, Green S. (Behind),
- 13:02, Serong J. (Behind),
- 14:12, Curnow C. (G),
- 18:13, Heeney I. (G),
- 19:57, Warner C. (Behind),
- 21:42, Warner C. (G),
- 27:41, Curnow C. (Behind),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.Sydney is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Richmond has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Sydney is the obvious favorite.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1395:1172. (average 82.1:68.9).Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 522:377. (average 104.4:75.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 06.06.25 | Richmond Tigers - Sydney Swans | 36:80 | | 31.03.24 | Richmond Tigers - Sydney Swans | 82:77 | | 06.07.23 | Richmond Tigers - Sydney Swans | 88:75 | | 14.04.23 | Richmond Tigers - Sydney Swans | 78:122 | | 27.05.22 | Sydney Swans - Richmond Tigers | 106:100 | | 02.04.21 | Richmond Tigers - Sydney Swans | 72:117 | | 12.07.20 | Richmond Tigers - Sydney Swans | 34:26 |
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