Match Info
AFL - Round 24Date: 22 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport Select |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 4 |
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Geelong Cats |
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Richmond Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.01 |
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19 |
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 |
1.01 |
100.00 |
10.00 |
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 Watch |
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1.01 |
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14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.01 ↓
(1.02) |
33.33
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14.33 ↑
(13) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 184.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-71)
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Geelong Cats
90.8% | Draw
2.8% | Richmond Tigers
6.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Geelong Cats - Richmond Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 128:57 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (40 - 20)
- 02:28, Mannagh S. (G),
- 03:33, Taranto T. (G),
- 05:10, Lynch T. (G),
- 10:22, Dempsey O. (G),
- 11:59, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:27, Campbell S. (G),
- 14:55, Polkinghorne J. (G),
- 17:00, Neale S. (G),
- 18:28, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:33, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:40, Mannagh S. (G),
- 23:26, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 27:34, Lefau M. (Behind),
- 30:37, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (38 - 9)
- 01:11, Mannagh S. (G),
- 05:17, Henry O. (Behind),
- 06:57, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 13:27, Brown T. (Behind),
- 15:03, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 17:11, Henry O. (G),
- 20:03, Henry O. (G),
- 21:31, Smith B. (G),
- 22:58, Neale S. (G),
- 25:53, Polkinghorne J. (Behind),
- 27:46, Lynch T. (Behind),
- 30:45, Lynch T. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (23 - 19)
- 01:09, Lefau M. (G),
- 04:38, Ralphsmith H. (G),
- 06:21, Polkinghorne J. (G),
- 08:16, (Behind Rushed),
- 10:08, Smith B. (G),
- 12:18, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:15, Martin J. (Behind),
- 19:08, Green S. (G),
- 25:15, Humphries L. (G),
- 28:02, Clark J. (Behind),
- 29:10, Martin J. (Behind),
- 30:56, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (32 - 28)
- 01:59, Neale S. (G),
- 04:33, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:13, Campbell S. (Behind),
- 07:04, Henry O. (Behind),
- 09:55, Green S. (G),
- 12:19, Ryan S. (G),
- 14:07, Ryan S. (G),
- 16:47, Lynch T. (G),
- 18:31, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 23:42, Lefau M. (Behind),
- 24:18, Edwards M. (G),
- 25:47, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 29:38, Smith B. (G),
- 32:20, Lefau M. (Behind),
- 34:39, Neale S. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 4.Geelong has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Richmond's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Geelong is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1611:1395. (average 80.6:69.8).Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 704:637. (average 70.4:63.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 23.08.25 | Richmond Tigers - Geelong Cats | 64:103 | | 05.07.25 | Geelong Cats - Richmond Tigers | 124:52 | | 01.06.24 | Geelong Cats - Richmond Tigers | 99:69 | | 12.05.23 | Richmond Tigers - Geelong Cats | 102:78 | | 25.06.22 | Geelong Cats - Richmond Tigers | 89:86 | | 25.07.21 | Geelong Cats - Richmond Tigers | 95:57 | | 07.05.21 | Richmond Tigers - Geelong Cats | 63:126 |
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