Match Info
AFL - Round 9Date: 10 May 2026, SundayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
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Richmond Tigers |
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Adelaide Crows |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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7 |
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1.1 |
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5 |
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1.12 |
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Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6 ↓ (7) |
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1.11 ↑ (1.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 179.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-40)
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Richmond Tigers 15.6% | Adelaide Crows 84.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Richmond will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:110 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (20 - 20)
- 00:51, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
- 05:51, Lynch T. (G),
- 09:53, Pedlar L. (G),
- 15:39, Burton T. (Behind),
- 17:58, Neal-Bullen A. (G),
- 20:13, Balta N. (G),
- 22:46, Rankine I. (G),
- 23:59, Campbell S. (G),
- 27:05, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:08, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (26 - 16)
- 00:47, Neal-Bullen A. (Behind),
- 01:37, Balta N. (Behind),
- 03:23, Rachele J. (Behind),
- 06:53, Lynch T. (G),
- 10:57, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
- 12:43, Sonsie T. (G),
- 17:22, Curtin D. (G),
- 18:44, Murray N. (G),
- 20:15, McAuliffe K. (Behind),
- 22:15, Green S. (G),
- 25:58, Lefau M. (G),
- 27:47, Berry S. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (1 - 34)
- 00:33, Rachele J. (G),
- 01:53, Rankine I. (Behind),
- 02:58, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 06:49, (Behind Rushed),
- 08:42, Neal-Bullen A. (G),
- 11:55, Peatling J. (Behind),
- 16:59, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
- 18:26, Dawson J. (G),
- 20:52, (Behind Rushed),
- 25:20, Cumming I. (G),
- 4th Quarter (14 - 28)
- 01:14, Murray T. (Behind),
- 02:46, Murray T. (G),
- 06:36, Lynch T. (G),
- 10:02, Lefau M. (Behind),
- 13:12, Cumming S. (G),
- 15:14, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:05, Taylor Z. (Behind),
- 20:09, Pedlar L. (Behind),
- 21:27, Taranto T. (Behind),
- 22:54, Rachele J. (G),
- 25:58, McAndrew L. (G),
- 28:15, Keays B. (G),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 3.Richmond is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Adelaide has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Richmond may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Adelaide has had a series of home games. In this match, Adelaide is the undeniable favorite.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1361:1391. (average 80.1:81.8).Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 562:534. (average 93.7:89).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 29.06.25 | Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows | 54:122 | | 06.06.24 | Adelaide Crows - Richmond Tigers | 71:79 | | 25.03.23 | Adelaide Crows - Richmond Tigers | 76:108 | | 16.04.22 | Adelaide Crows - Richmond Tigers | 101:82 | | 30.05.21 | Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows | 111:83 | | 19.09.20 | Adelaide Crows - Richmond Tigers | 33:77 | | 13.06.19 | Adelaide Crows - Richmond Tigers | 101:68 |
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