The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Richmond Tigers 25.3%
Draw 3.3%
North Melbourne Kangaroos 71.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.2%
72.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
66.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Richmond Tigers - North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Richmond will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). North Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:96
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (8 - 8)
09:42, Cumming S. (G),
16:35, (Behind Rushed),
18:13, Duursma Z. (Behind),
21:30, Wardlaw G. (G),
23:53, (Behind Rushed),
26:00, Spargo C. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (14 - 22)
01:58, Balta N. (Behind),
04:43, Trembath C. (G),
06:23, Larkey N. (G),
14:48, (Behind Rushed),
15:48, Alger J. (G),
17:39, Duursma Z. (Behind),
18:36, (Behind Rushed),
20:16, (Behind Rushed),
21:29, Lefau M. (G),
23:08, Spargo C. (Behind),
26:51, Trembath C. (G),
3rd Quarter (4 - 22)
01:08, Konstanty J. (Behind),
06:24, Konstanty J. (G),
06:50, (Behind Rushed),
09:12, Trembath C. (G),
10:44, Darling J. (Behind),
16:09, (Behind Rushed),
17:21, (Behind Rushed),
19:03, Trembath C. (G),
21:11, Alger J. (Behind),
23:06, Rioli M. (Behind),
25:15, McKercher C. (Behind),
4th Quarter (22 - 21)
01:43, Davies-Uniacke L. (Behind),
03:04, Larkey N. (Behind),
03:57, Wardlaw G. (G),
05:08, Balta N. (G),
07:05, Balta N. (G),
09:16, Lefau M. (Behind),
10:57, Xerri T. (G),
12:14, Fawcett L. (G),
15:59, Duursma Z. (Behind),
20:49, (Behind Rushed),
22:33, Alger J. (Behind),
25:11, Stephens D. (G),
28:07, Taranto T. (Behind),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 1.
Richmond is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
North Melbourne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
North Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, North Melbourne has had a series of home games.
In this match, North Melbourne is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1648:1788. (average 82.4:89.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 815:627. (average 90.6:69.7).
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