The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Melbourne Kangaroos 38.9%
Gold Coast Suns 61.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
58.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Melbourne Kangaroos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
North Melbourne Kangaroos - Gold Coast Suns Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:97
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (25 - 42)
02:24, Powell W. (G),
04:39, Walter J. (G),
10:18, Miller T. (G),
12:23, Darling J. (G),
14:07, King B. (G),
19:26, Gulbin L. (G),
20:32, Konstanty J. (G),
21:36, Long B. (G),
25:16, Darling J. (Behind),
26:40, Darling J. (G),
31:40, Simpkin J. (G),
33:23, Walter J. (G),
2nd Quarter (12 - 33)
01:17, Noble J. (G),
04:12, Larkey N. (G),
05:51, (Behind Rushed),
08:32, Rowell M. (G),
11:22, Walter J. (Behind),
12:58, Walter J. (G),
18:50, Humphrey B. (G),
20:42, Moyle N. (G),
23:17, Konstanty J. (G),
30:05, Moyle N. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (28 - 10)
01:44, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
03:36, Curtis P. (G),
06:55, Larkey N. (G),
10:05, Anderson N. (G),
13:15, (Behind Rushed),
13:50, (Behind Rushed),
16:32, (Behind Rushed),
20:30, Darling J. (G),
23:16, (Behind Rushed),
24:41, Lombard L. (Behind),
25:43, Trembath C. (G),
27:03, Humphrey B. (Behind),
29:00, Curtis P. (Behind),
4th Quarter (46 - 20)
01:10, Uwland Z. (G),
04:43, Trembath C. (G),
06:56, Petracca C. (G),
08:59, Xerri T. (G),
10:38, Clohesy S. (Behind),
11:40, Curtis P. (G),
13:10, Long B. (G),
14:56, Long B. (Behind),
15:40, (Behind Rushed),
17:08, Sheezel H. (Behind),
19:17, Duursma Z. (G),
22:39, Curtis P. (Behind),
25:24, Spargo C. (G),
26:32, O'Sullivan F. (Behind),
30:34, Davies-Uniacke L. (G),
32:54, Zurhaar C. (G),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 2.
Recent form of North Melbourne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gold Coast is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
North Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gold Coast has had a series of home games.
Gold Coast might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Gold Coast will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1505:1891. (average 75.3:94.6).
Including home matches between the teams, North Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 706:770. (average 88.3:96.3).