Match Info
AUSTRALIA: AFL - Round 9Date: 11 May 2024, SaturdayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)
|
 |
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 |
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Richmond Tigers |
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Western Bulldogs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.1 |
|
1.4 |
|
 |
2.81 |
|
1.37 |
|
 |
3.03 |
|
1.39 |
|
 |
3.1 |
|
1.36 |
|
 |
2.99 |
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1.37 |
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 |
3 |
|
1.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↓
(3.1) |
|
1.37 ↑
(1.37) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-17)
- The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Richmond Tigers
31.3% | Western Bulldogs
68.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Western Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+2.3%)Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs Predictions
Users Predictions:
Western Bulldogs will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:93 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (1 - 24)
- 01:25, Ugle-Hagan J. (Behind),
- 02:27, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 05:35, Naughton A. (G),
- 07:22, Garcia R. (G),
- 09:00, Garcia R. (Behind),
- 12:55, Ugle-Hagan J. (Behind),
- 13:59, Macrae J. (Behind),
- 19:59, Short J. (Behind),
- 22:54, (Behind Rushed),
- 2nd Quarter (19 - 43)
- 00:45, Mansell R. (G),
- 02:17, Darcy S. (G),
- 05:09, Banks S. (Behind),
- 06:32, Darcy S. (G),
- 08:28, Garcia R. (Behind),
- 09:57, Naughton A. (G),
- 13:51, Duryea T. (Behind),
- 14:51, Rioli M. (G),
- 17:33, Harmes J. (G),
- 18:44, Gallagher H. (Behind),
- 19:57, Harmes J. (G),
- 21:35, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 23:16, Balta N. (G),
- 25:32, English T. (Behind),
- 27:20, Jones L. (Behind),
- 29:40, West R. (Behind),
- 32:14, Harmes J. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (8 - 26)
- 03:01, Darcy S. (G),
- 05:09, Treloar A. (G),
- 06:38, Bontempelli M. (G),
- 09:32, Naughton A. (G),
- 26:32, (Behind Rushed),
- 29:15, Dale B. (G),
- 29:45, Bolton S. (G),
- 31:06, Naughton A. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (14 - 40)
- 00:54, West R. (G),
- 02:05, Pickett M. (Behind),
- 04:07, Naughton A. (G),
- 06:27, Ugle-Hagan J. (G),
- 08:13, Darcy S. (G),
- 09:17, West R. (Behind),
- 11:34, Gallagher H. (Behind),
- 13:34, Harmes J. (G),
- 15:04, Williams B. (Behind),
- 16:10, Garcia R. (G),
- 20:37, Bolton S. (Behind),
- 21:56, Treloar A. (Behind),
- 26:17, Prestia D. (G),
- 34:39, Bolton S. (G),
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).Last 5 head-to-head matches Richmond won 3. The competitors look crappy now. Richmond could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Richmond have a series of home games. In this match Western is a favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Richmond won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1297-1209. Including matches at home between the teams Richmond won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 648-520.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 04.08.23 | Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers | 126:71 | | 08.04.23 | Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs | 84:89 | | 09.04.22 | Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs | 99:61 | | 30.04.21 | Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs | 77:55 | | 29.07.20 | Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers | 49:90 | | 04.05.19 | Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers | 99:52 | | 25.08.18 | Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs | 98:95 |
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