Match Info
AFL - Round 13Date: 5 June 2025, ThursdayLocation: Marvel Stadium (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network |
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Western Bulldogs |
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Hawthorn Hawks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.33 |
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3.5 |
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 |
1.33 |
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3.01 |
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 |
1.44 |
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2.7 |
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 |
1.33 |
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3.25 |
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 |
1.34 |
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3.23 |
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 |
1.33 |
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3.01 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.65) |
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3.12 ↑
(2.18) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 175.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
- The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Western Bulldogs
69.8% | Hawthorn Hawks
30.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western Bulldogs's performance.Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawthorn Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -16.5 Points, OT - Western (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 165.5 Points - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Western (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:80 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (8 - 32)
- 00:57, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 03:39, English T. (Behind),
- 05:43, Meek L. (Behind),
- 07:10, Chol M. (G),
- 09:51, Williams B. (G),
- 12:18, (Behind Rushed),
- 13:58, Weddle J. (G),
- 15:32, Macdonald C. (G),
- 18:53, Nash C. (G),
- 23:24, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (21 - 20)
- 04:41, Kennedy M. (G),
- 06:43, West R. (Behind),
- 09:57, Harmes J. (G),
- 13:57, Ramsden M. (Behind),
- 18:06, Moore D. (Behind),
- 20:23, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:20, Gunston J. (G),
- 22:48, Newcombe J. (G),
- 24:01, Richards E. (G),
- 26:53, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
- 30:28, Chol M. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (21 - 13)
- 06:03, Harmes J. (Behind),
- 08:24, Chol M. (G),
- 15:37, Vandermeer L. (G),
- 18:45, Chol M. (G),
- 21:26, Lobb R. (G),
- 24:02, Lobb R. (Behind),
- 26:12, Vandermeer L. (G),
- 27:44, Impey J. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (9 - 16)
- 00:20, Sanders R. (Behind),
- 05:24, Impey J. (G),
- 09:16, Ginnivan J. (G),
- 10:50, Lobb R. (Behind),
- 13:51, Moore D. (Behind),
- 16:51, English T. (Behind),
- 19:22, Khamis B. (G),
- 21:42, (Behind Rushed),
- 26:09, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 27:52, (Behind Rushed),
- 30:18, (Behind Rushed),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Western is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1637:1674. (average 81.9:83.7).Including home matches between the teams, Western won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 696:712. (average 87:89).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AAMI Community Series | | | 27.02.25 | Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs | 66:77 | | AFL | | | 06.09.24 | Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks | 62:99 | | 05.05.24 | Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks | 91:98 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 02.03.24 | Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs | 62:119 | | AFL | | | 12.08.23 | Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs | 67:64 | | 29.04.23 | Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks | 94:65 | | 20.08.22 | Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs | 64:87 |
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