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Current Win Probability
Gold Coast Suns 69.7%
St Kilda Saints 30.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.1%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.5%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Gold Coast Suns - St Kilda Saints Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. St Kilda will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 106:85
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 32)
02:38, King B. (G),
05:45, Ugle-Hagan J. (Behind),
14:09, Hall M. (G),
16:57, Owens M. (G),
19:25, (Behind Rushed),
20:33, Wilson D. (G),
22:08, Henry L. (G),
23:43, Marshall R. (Behind),
25:30, Wilson D. (G),
2nd Quarter (39 - 4)
02:57, Petracca C. (G),
04:06, (Behind Rushed),
07:13, Weller L. (G),
08:30, Noble J. (G),
09:46, Long B. (Behind),
11:16, Graham W. (G),
13:31, Phillipou M. (Behind),
16:09, De Koning T. (Behind),
19:45, Rioli D. (G),
21:13, (Behind Rushed),
22:24, Henry L. (Behind),
24:01, Davies A. (G),
26:24, Ugle-Hagan J. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (14 - 10)
00:55, Sharman C. (Behind),
03:41, Caminiti A. (Behind),
12:54, Wilson D. (Behind),
17:16, King B. (G),
18:36, Wilson D. (G),
19:50, (Behind Rushed),
21:14, King B. (G),
24:25, Moyle N. (Behind),
26:28, Weller L. (Behind),
4th Quarter (29 - 14)
00:53, Humphrey B. (Behind),
02:13, Wilson D. (G),
06:04, Hall M. (Behind),
06:58, Lombard L. (G),
08:36, Petracca C. (Behind),
11:13, Lombard L. (Behind),
12:18, Miller T. (G),
14:46, Sinclair J. (G),
18:29, Sharman C. (Behind),
20:11, Humphrey B. (G),
22:50, Noble J. (Behind),
23:49, Humphrey B. (Behind),
29:12, King B. (G),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Gold Coast is the team to beat.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1350:1369. (average 71.1:72.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 750:665. (average 75:66.5).